Sugar Bowl 2022 Betting Odds Alabama vs. Kansas State

Sugar Bowl 2022 Betting Odds: Alabama vs. Kansas State

Written by on December 22, 2022

How motivated will No. 5 Alabama be in the Sugar Bowl against Big 12 champion and No. 9 Kansas State? After all, the Tide are used to competing in the College Football Playoff, not a fairly meaningless bowl game. Bama is still a solid favorite on the NCAAF odds.

How to Bet Alabama vs. Kansas State NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 31, noon ET
  • Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
  • TV: ESPN
  • Stream: ESPN+
  • Radio:
  • Opening NCAAF Lines: Alabama -5.5 (total 55.5)

Series History

This will be the 61st Sugar Bowl matchup between teams ranked in the Top 10 and the 35th between 10-win teams. Kansas State is the 93rd conference champion to play in the Sugar Bowl. With SEC champion Georgia qualifying for the College Football Playoff, the SEC assigned Alabama as the Crimson Tide own the next-highest CFP ranking in the league. K-State and Alabama have never met.

Why Bet on Alabama?

One could argue that Alabama (10-2) could be the best two-loss team in recent college football history as both losses were on the road and on the final play of the game at Tennessee and LSU. The Tide closed the season with three straight wins, capped by a 49-27 rout of Auburn in the Iron Bowl on Nov. 26.

Quarterback Bryce Young combined for 391 total yards and four touchdowns on the night, including 343 yards on 20-of-30 passing through the air, moving past John Parker Wilson (7,924 yards) into second on Alabama’s career passing yards list with 8,035. Young now trails only AJ McCarron who finished with a record 9,019 career yards passing during his UA career.

With his sack in the fourth quarter, Will Anderson Jr. has totaled 61.0 tackles for loss over his career which moved him past Wallace Gilberry into second all-time at Alabama, trailing only Derrick Thomas (68.0). The Crimson Tide have now won 10-games-or-more in a season 44 times, including last 15-consecutive seasons under Nick Saban.

Anderson was named first-team All-American in becoming the first player since 2012 (Manti Te’o) to sweep the Bronco Nagurski Award, Lombardi Award and Lott Trophy. He had 51 tackles, including 17 for loss (-72 yards) and 10 sacks (-54 yards), during his junior season and led Alabama in tackles for loss, sacks and quarterback hurries (12).

Young could be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft and Anderson as high as No. 2 but both have chosen to play in the bowl. It appears Alabama won’t have any players opt out. This marks only the second time since the College Football Playoff started in 2014 that Alabama has found itself in the situation of players considering opt outs.

“I think Will and Bryce coming back to play in the game speaks volumes of the kind of culture we have in the program,” Saban said.

The Crimson Tide have squared off with eight of the current 10 programs that make up the Big 12, missing only Kansas and the Wildcats. In 27 games against Big 12 opponents, the Tide hold an 11-14-2 record. Saban has never faced the Wildcats during his career and holds a 5-2 overall record against Big 12 opponents.

Alabama will make its 17th appearance in the Sugar Bowl, owning a record of 9-7 in those contests. Most recently, the Tide defeated Clemson in the 2017 College Football Playoff Semifinal game (24-6). Saban is 15-6 in postseason games at Alabama.

Why Bet on Kansas State?

The Wildcats (10-2) were a huge surprise this season and upset TCU in the Big 12 title game, 31-28 in overtime on Dec. 3, but the Frogs still got into the College Football Playoff. Ty Zentner drilled a 31-yard field goal for the victory as the Cats captured their first Big 12 title since 2012 and their first victory in a Big 12 Championship Game since 2003.

K-State redeemed itself from a 38-28 loss to the Horned Frogs earlier this season by handing them their first loss of the season. That’s something the Wildcats also did in the 2003 title game when they beat unbeaten Oklahoma.

Sophomore quarterback Will Howard made his 14th career start and fourth this season, throwing for 199 yards and two touchdowns on 18-of-32 passing with one rushing TD. He now has 34 career touchdowns responsible for, which ranks 10th in school history. e. He has completed 61.6% of his passes for 1,423 yards and 15 touchdowns and two interceptions to go along with three rushing touchdowns this year.

Junior running back Deuce Vaughn carded 130 rushing yards and a touchdown on 26 carries, while he had 30 receiving yards on two catches. He moved into fourth place in school history in single-season rushing yards with 1,425 yards. He now has 252 career points scored to tie for sixth in school history. Vaughn, who ranks second all-time in rushing (3,471 yards) in K-State history, heads into bowl season as the only active player in the FBS with 3,000 rushing yards and 1,200 receiving yards.

K-State took down its third top-10 opponent of the season, the other two being a win at then-No. 6 Oklahoma and a home victory against then-No. 9 Oklahoma State. It is the first time in school history the Wildcats defeated multiple top-10 teams in a season. The Wildcats are now 6-3 in their last nine games against top-10 teams. Coach Chris Klieman is now 7-6 all-time against AP Top-10 teams, including a 5-2 record at K-State.

Defensively, K-State held every FBS opponent under their season scoring average at the time that they played. All-American defensive end Felix Anudike-Uzomah, the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year, has 44 tackles, including 11 tackles for loss, with 8.5 sacks and two forced fumbles. Additionally, eight different players have recorded at least one interception for the Wildcats, who are tied for sixth nationally with 16 picks this season.

This is K-State’s 24th bowl appearance. It is 10-13 in bowl games and looking to win their fourth bowl game in their last five appearances. It would be the first time in school history the Wildcats won four bowls in five tries.

Game Trends

  • Crimson Tide are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.
  • Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Expert Prediction

  • Alabama 30, K-State 27


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