It’s a Big 12 versus SEC clash on Dec. 28 when the Texas Tech Red Raiders take on the Mississippi Rebels at the 2022 Texas Bowl. For the Red Raiders, the Texas Bowl amounts to a home game. But the Rebels’ fan base travels well. Will Ole Miss get it done with a win and cover? Or will Texas Tech prove best in one of the season’s more intriguing bowl games? Check out College Football Bowl Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Ole Miss versus Texas Tech.
Who is Playing in the Texas Bowl? | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
Texas Tech versus Ole Miss Lines | Texas Bowl Odds
- When: Wednesday, Dec. 28 at 9:00 pm ET
- Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
- TV / Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
- ATS Odds: Ole Miss -3.5
- Money line Odds: Texas Tech +143 / Ole Miss -176
- Over/Under Odds: 69.5
Why bet on Texas Tech versus Ole Miss?
The Red Raiders finished the regular season with a 7-5 record. But before writing off the Red Raiders, it’s important to note that Texas Tech heads into this off 3-straight wins and covers.
Not only that, but while so many players have opted out of their bowl game, Texas Tech’s top offensive stars, running back SaRoderick Thompson, quarterback Donovan Smith, and the rest, should play.
Texas Tech Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 459.2
- Passing Yards: 307.1
- Rushing Yards: 152.1
- Points Scored: 33.6
- Turnovers: 5
Texas Tech Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 414.7
- Passing Yards: 248.1
- Rushing Yards: 166.6
- Points Scored: 29.5
- Takeaways: 7
Why bet on Ole Miss versus Texas Tech?
Rumors swirled that head coach Lane Kiffin might take the job at Auburn. Lane, though, had no desire to leave Ole Miss.
After he told his players his plans, they responded with a terrific performance versus Mississippi State, falling 24-22. But many in Mississippi weren’t convinced Kiffin didn’t have one foot out the door. Now those players know Lane will be their head coach next season. Expect the players to reward their HC’s loyalty with a big win and cover.
Ole Miss Rebels Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 491.3
- Passing Yards: 229.8
- Rushing Yards: 261.6
- Points Scored: 34.2
- Turnovers: 7
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 379.8
- Passing Yards: 218.0
- Rushing Yards: 161.8
- Points Scored: 24.2
- Takeaways: 7
Red Raiders vs Rebels Relevant Trends
- Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7
- Texas Tech is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 in their previous
- Over is 8-2 in the Red Raiders’ last 10 bowl games
- Rebels are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 bowl games
- Ole Miss is 7-3-1 ATS in their salt 11 non-conference games
- Under is 11-2 in the Rebels’ last 13 versus a team with a winning record
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Ole Miss Rebels Final Betting Prediction
Mississippi finished their regular season going 1-4-1 against the spread in their final 6. To be fair, Ole Miss’ final 6 games were versus Auburn, LSU, Texas A&M, Alabama, and rival Mississippi State.
Texas Tech covered in their final 3 regular season games, but the Red Raiders took on Kansas, Iowa State, and Oklahoma. Those three Big 12 teams are good. They aren’t close to being as solid as the teams Mississippi faced to end their regular season.
The Rebels are more battle-tested. In addition, Kiffin wants to win this bowl game. Finally, the Red Raiders allow 30 points per game from over 417 yards. Lane will exploit Texas Tech’s defensive issues. Ole Miss wins and covers.
NCAAF Texas Bowl Pick: Ole Miss Rebels -3.5