NCAA Football total win odds are out. Some teams offer totals that teams should smash over. Other teams have totals they will struggle to reach. See below for the most likely over play, the most likely under play, the team with the best shot to go over, the team with the best chance to go under, four solid over, and four solid under plays. Let’s jump right into action so you can plan your bets against the NCAAF Regular Season Wins Odds.
Analyzing the NCAA Football Total Win Odds for the 2022 Season | NCAAF Betting
2022-23 NCAAF College Football Season
- When: August 27, 2022 – Dec. 10, 2022
Most likely over game total play – Baylor 7.5
Blake Shapen has the chance to be one of the best quarterbacks in the NCAAF this season. Shapen was fantastic in 2021
Blake beat Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship and then helped Baylor dust Ole Miss 21-7 in the Sugar Bowl. The Bears can lose 4 games this season and still go over. Baylor should lose, maybe, 2.
Most likely under game total play – Michigan State 7.5
Michigan State allowed 455.9 total yards last season. The reason the Spartans won so many games is because Kenneth Walker III was the top running back in college and he played behind a stout offensive line.
3 players along the line and Walker are gone. The defense won’t be much better in 2022. The schedule is not easy. MSU plays tough Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio State, and Penn State this season. Road games at Illinois and at Washington also aren’t slam dunks.
Team with the best shot to go over by 2 or more games – Boise State 9
The Broncos have a big chance to go undefeated. Boise State should beat their toughest 3 opponents, Oregon State, San Diego State, and BYU.
Boise starts 9 seniors and 2 juniors on offense. On defense, the Broncos will start 10 seniors and a sophomore nickelback.
Team most likely to go under by at least 2 games – Oregon 9
New Ducks’ head coach Dan Lanning is a talented defensive coordinator. Sometimes coaching a unit doesn’t translate into coaching an entire team.
Lanning can do a good job and the Ducks still might struggle to reach 9 wins. Bo Nix transfers from Auburn. He could struggle in the pass happy Pac-12.
The defense will miss Kayvon Thibodeaux. Tough matchups versus Georgia, BYU, Utah, UCLA, and Washington feel like losses. The annual Civil War against Oregon State is never a for sure victory.
Solid Over Win Total Plays
Alabama 10.5 – Alabama should go undefeated. The Crimson Tide play their toughest opponent, Texas A&M in Tuscaloosa.
Cincinnati 9 – Luke Fickell’s bunch starts the season at Arkansas. If Cincinnati gets past the Razorbacks, an undefeated season is more than probable.
USC 9.5 – USC will be the class of the Pac-12. An Oregon squad in transition, a UCLA team that doesn’t match up, and a Washington team not on their level, means USC must only worry about Utah.
Arizona 3 – Arizona should beat North Dakota State, Cal, Colorado, and Washington State. That’s 4 wins. If U-of-A upsets rival ASU in their final regular season game, that will be 5 wins.
Solid Under Win Total Plays
Vanderbilt 2.5 – 2 wins feels like Vanderbilt’s top. The half point should mean something. Getting to a couple of wins may not even happen because Elon is the only team on the schedule Vandy should beat.
Pittsburgh 8.5 – The Pittsburgh Panthers should have a decent defense, but the offense will struggle. Kedon Slovis isn’t close to Kenny Pickett’s level. When Jordan Addison transferred to USC, it was obvious that Pitt won’t come close to averaging 43 points per like they did in 2021. Expect a huge step backward for last season’s ACC champs.
North Carolina 7.5 – UNC went 6-6 last season when Sam Howell was their quarterback. This season, they could end up with a worse record. The real problem for the Tar Heels is finding improvement for a defense that allowed over 400 yards and 31.6 points per game last season.
Indiana 4 – The Indiana Hoosiers could play well and they’d still struggle to find 4 wins. Idaho might be a win. Rutgers might be a win. Michigan State might be a win. The operative word for all 3 is might.
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