The Tour de France doesn’t start until July, but because it’s the most important cycling event of the year, it makes sense to look at opening odds. As one might expect, Tadej Pogacar is the solid -165 chalk. Primoz Roglic follows at +200 and Jonas Vingegaard is third choice based on odds at +550. All other choices offer +2000 or higher odds. Check out opening odds and an odds analysis for the 2022 Tour de France so you can plan your bets against the Tour de France Odds.
Early Odds to Win the 2022 Tour de France | Cycling Betting Analysis
2022 Tour de France
- When: July 1 – July 24
- Where: Denmark & France
- TV/Streaming: NBC Sports / Peacock
2022 Tour de France Opening Odds
- Tadej Pogacar -165
- Primoz Roglic +200
- Jonas Vingegaard +550
- Richard Carapaz +2000
- Daniel Martinez +2200
- Enric Mas Nicolau +3300
- Geraint Thomas +3300
- Jack Haig +4000
- Wout Van Ert +4000
- Adam Yates +5000
Which cyclist among Pogacar, Roglic, and Vingegaard offers overlay odds?
Primoz Roglic is one of the best cyclists in the world. But Roglic has never won the Tour de France General Classification, also called the Yellow Jersey. 2022 shouldn’t be his year.
At +200, Roglic is an underlay. So is Jonas Vingegaard at +500. Roglic’s teammate, Vingegaard raced great on his way to a second-place general classification at the 2021 Tour de France.
But the only reason Vingegaard raced so well is because he picked up the slack after Roglic had to retire from the event. A healthy Roglic should dent Vingegaard’s chances.
Tadej Pogacar has won the last couple of Tour de Frances. He was fantastic in 2020 and in 2021. Although the odds are under even money, Pogacar is the overlay among the three chalks.
So far this year, Pogacar has won the UAE Tour, Strade-Bianche, and he put a beating onto Vingegaard, sweeping almost every jersey, when winning the Tirreno-Adriatico. Right now, Tadej Pogacar is a machine.
Which cyclist is the better bet between Carapaz and Martinez?
Richard Carapaz finished third in last year’s Tour de France. So far in 2022, he’s raced well, finishing second in the Giro d’Italia.
Daniel Martinez finished third in Paris-Nice and won the Tour of the Basque Country. But the Tour of the Basque Country isn’t a Grand Tour event like the Giro d’Italia, which is why Carapaz is the better play.
Which +3300 cyclist, Mas Nicolau or Thomas, deserves the longest look to win the 2022 Tour de France?
Enric Mas Nicolau finished sixth in last year’s Tour de France. He followed up the decent Tour de France finish with a nice second in the year’s last Grand Tour event, the Vuelta a Espana.
But although Mas Nicolau raced well last year, his 2022 hasn’t been nearly as impressive. He didn’t finish when cycling in the Tirreno-Adriatico and he finished ninth in the Tour of the Basque Country.
Geraint Thomas won the 2018 Tour de France and finished second in the 2019 race. He finished forty-first last year, but if he’s back to his best form, he could grab a top ten finish in 2022. So between Mas Nicolau and Thomas, Geraint appears to be the better choice.
Name the top +4000 to +5000 underdog play heading into June.
Jack Haig didn’t finish last year’s Tour de France. However, he followed up the DNF with an impressive third place finish in the Vuelta a Espana, a Grand Tour event.
So far in 2022, Haig has a sixth place finish in the Paris-Nice. Haig has a much better shot of winning the Tour de France, it’s not great, but it is better, than Wart Van Ert.
But Haig isn’t a better play than Adam Yates. The English cyclist finished forth in last year’s Vuelta a Espana. This year, he finished fourth in the Paris-Nice. The odds difference is enough to back Yates over Haig if you’re looking to throw money behind a big time longshot.
