eSports Betting: 2020 KeSPA Cup Grand Finals Analysis

eSports Betting: 2020 KeSPA Cup Grand Finals Analysis

Written by on January 1, 2021

The KeSPA Cup 2020 will conclude on Saturday, January 2 with a clash between ⁠Nongshim RedForce and the reigning League of Legends world champions DAMWON GAMING. With the prestigious title and ₩40,000,000 (≅ US $36.776) in tournament winnings on the line, we can expect an exciting match, however, it will be Nongshim RedForce who will have a lot to prove as they get ready to face the strongest team in the world. Let’s take a closer look at the upcoming matchup so you can bet against their League of Legends odds.

KeSPA Cup 2020 Grand Finals Betting Preview

Nongshim RedForce Vs DAMWON Gaming – Saturday, January 2 – 17:00 KST

Nongshim RedForce (formerly Team Dynamics) have made quite a splash at the KeSPA Cup with their performances. Although they had to settle for a runner-up finish in the group stage, they still managed a very impressive 3-1 record with wins against Liiv SANDBOX, DRX and Afreeca Freecs.

In the quarter-finals, Nongshim RedForce edged past Liiv SANDBOX (2-1), to which they added a commanding 3-0 sweep of KT Rolster in the semi-finals to book a spot in the finals. Much of RedForce’s success in this tournament comes down to the performances of ADC Seo “deokdam” Dae-gil and jungler Han “Peanut” Wang-ho, who are both fairly consistent and average 5.3 and 5.0 KDA respectively.

DAMWON Gaming enter this match as massive favorites which is not too surprising. Not only are they the reigning world champions, but DAMWON have also dropped only one map in 10 games en route to the KeSPA Cup grand finals and even that loss came against Hanwha Life Esports, who they ended up beating 3-1.

Unlike most other teams at the tournament, DAMWON have opted to field most of their active lineup, so it’s not too surprising they had a fairly easy time making it so far. What’s more, their newest signing Kim “Khan” Dong-ha has been playing extremely well, which is a scary sight for DAMWON’s opponents, since Khan is easily one of the best top laners in the world when he is in form.

Prediction

The question here is not so much whether DAMWON can win, but rather what can Nongshim RedForce do. Expecting the underdogs to win is a bit too optimistic and we have a hard time believing they can cause any serious damage either.

These two sides have last met on Monday, December 21, when DAMWON swept the floor with Nongshim RedForce. Although the underdogs held on well for the first 10 minutes, the quality gap became much more noticeable when the match entered the mid-game.

Thanks to their superior macro play and better team fighting execution, DAMWON gained a small lead which they then used to snowball into a commanding victory and we don’t expect that to change here. DAMWON have since looked stronger with each passing game and unless they somehow slip, this should be an easy 3-0 win for what is arguably one of the strongest Korean LoL teams we have seen since the era SKT T1.

Nongshim RedForce could potentially surprise DAMWON with some unusual drafts, but even then, Peanut would need to have a game of his life to match up with Kim “Canyon” Geon-bu and disrupt the flow of the game. It’s plausible for Nongshim RedForce to win one map, but considering DAMWON’s current form, we don’t believe it’s possible.

Prediction: DAMWON Gaming -2.5 maps


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