2020 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational

2020 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview

Written by on March 4, 2020

This week, Rory McIlroy offers +500 odds to beat his competition and take home the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational trophy. McIlroy is the lone golfer that offers such short odds to win the title. Although, no doubt, he’s the top golfer in the field, should Rory offer such low odds? Are their other golfers who offer fairer Golf odds to take the Arnold Palmer? Check out an analysis of the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational!

2020 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational

  • When: March 5 – March 8
  • Where: Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, FL
  • TV: Golf Channel
  • Radio: PGA Tour Radio

 2020 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

  • Rory McIlroy +500
  • Tommy Fleetwood +1400
  • Bryson Dechambeau +1600
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2000
  • Adam Scott +2200
  • Xander Schauffele +2200
  • Sungjae Im +2500
  • Patrick Reed +2500
  • Brooks Koepka +3000
  • Jason Day +3300
  • Tony Finau +3300
  • Rickie Fowler +3300
  • Marc Leishman +3500
  • Justin Rose +4000
  • Henrik Stenson +4000
  • Byeong Hun An +4000
  • Colin Morikawa +4500
  • Bubba Watson +4500
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +5000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +5500

Does Rory McIlroy offer fair odds to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational? Which golfer between Tommy Fleetwood and Bryson Dechambeau has the best shot of upsetting Rory?

Let’s study Rory’s odds and determine if they’re fair. McIlroy ranks second on the FedEx Cup Standings. He’s averaging a 67.9, which is ridiculous because most golf courses on the PGA Tour are between a 70 and 72 par.

Not only that, but Rory has finished fifth or better in 5 straight tournaments. That includes finishing fifth with a -14, 270 at the WGC-Mexico Championship. McIlroy won the WGC-HSBC last October. That’s his lone win in his last 5 tournaments played.

Which brings us to this conclusion: although Mac offers low odds, the odds aren’t unfair. He should get into the Top 5 for sure. Not only that but he’s heads and tails ahead of his competition. Fair odds doesn’t mean we should wager, though.

Rory won just a single tournament from his last 5 played. That means even though his odds are fair, he’s a play against to win.

Okay, then, who’s the better pick? Tommy Fleetwood or Bryson Dechambeau. That’s easy. Dechambeau, by far, is the better choice to beat Rory. Bryson finished second at the WGC-Mexico. He shot a -17, 267. Before that, he tied for fifth with Rory at the Genesis Invitational. If you don’t want to back Mac at +500, go with Bryson at +1600.

Which golfer between +2000 to +3500 odds has the best chances of winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational?

At +2500, we could find worse golfers than Sungjae Im to back to win the Arnold Palmer. Im shot a -9 at last year’s tournament. He shot a 71-69-71-68. If he could have broken 70 in Round 1 and Round 3, he may have challenged for the trophy. Give Sungjae a big shot to win this year’s tournament.

What is the best golfer to consider backing at odds of +4000 to +5500?

Im’s fellow South Korean golfer also has a massive shot at huge odds. Byeong Hun An started his 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational quest with back-to-back 72s. But he stepped it up in the third and fourth rounds. An shot a 69 and 68 to finish at -7. If he can get off to a hotter start on Thursday and Friday, he could make a run for the title.

Consider these 3 PGA Tournament Matchups for 2020 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational

What’s up with Brooks Koepka? He missed the cut at The Honda Classic. That came on the heels of a forty-third placing at the Genesis Invitational. Im offers overlay odds at -110 to beat Brooks. Go with Sungjae.

Fleetwood shot well at the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Tommy also finished third at the Honda Classic. But Rory’s on top of his game. Back McIlroy.

Finau followed up his second-place finish at the Waste Management Phoenix Open with a fifty-first at the Genesis Invitational. He hasn’t played since then. If he’s got his best swing back, he should beat Jason Day. But there’s no telling if he has. Take the odds on Day even though he missed the cut at the Genesis, his last tournament played.