Early 2021 Breeders Cup Classic Betting Analysis: Essential Quality Odds Favorite

Early 2021 Breeders Cup Classic Betting Analysis: Essential Quality Odds Favorite

The Breeders’ Cup doesn’t happen until early November. But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t check out updated odds. Most BC contenders will have a single race from mid-July to November 6. It makes sense to check out current odds on MyBookie and assess those odds based on our overlay and underlay criteria. See below for odds on 18 horses that could show up in the BC starting gate at Del Mar. Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Breeders’ Cup Classic for Saturday, Nov. 6. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.

Really Early Odds to Win the 2021 Breeders Cup

2021 Breeders’ Cup Classic

  • When: Nov. 6
  • Where: Del Mar Racetrack, Del Mar, CA

2021 Breeders’ Cup Classic Odds

Among the horses offering odds of +1200 or lower, which are overlays and which are underlays to win the BC Classic?

The chalk is Essential Quality. At +800, the Brad Cox trained Belmont Stakes winner could be an overlay. Quality proved in the Belmont that he has developed into a serious race horse, outworking Hot Rod Charlie in the stretch to win with an excellent Beyer Speed figure. 

MyBookie doesn’t have Hot Rod Charlie on the list. If he takes the Haskell Invitational on July 17, odds to win the BC should post some time next week. No doubt, if Hot Rod offers odds similar to Essential Quality, Hot Rod could be an overlay.

The reason? Hot Rod and EQ have run faster than their older rivals, Mystic Guide and Max Player. At this point, Mystic Guide, the Dubai World Cup winner, is an underlay.

One older horse that offers overlay odds is Maxfield, the Stephen Foster winner. The 4-year-old could improve enough to challenge Essential Quality and Hot Rod Charlie in the BC Classic. 

Which horses at odds of +1400 to +2000 are overlays to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic?

Mandaloun, the second place finisher in the Kentucky Derby, could improve in the Haskell. Watch the July 17 race to see how well Mandaloun runs. Even if he finishes behind Hot Rod Charlie, but runs a great race and produces a decent speed rating, he’d be a good horse to consider for the Classic. 

Steve Asmussen trains Silver State. The Grade 1 Metropolitan Handicap winner has won six straight. Although Silver State hasn’t run fast enough to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic, the Hard Spun sired colt could be one of those run as fast as required to win horses. Don’t discount at decent +1400 odds.  

Name the horses at +2500 odds or higher that have a realistic shot of winning the Classic?

Watch Tacitus’ next race. The Juddmonte Farms and Bill Mott trained runner hasn’t won since winning the Suburban last year. The Tapit sired 5-year-old was awful in the Saudi Cup. But if he shows something in his next event, he could be a decent play at +2500.

Jesus’ Team has speed. Speed dominates. So if no horse shows up with the same early foot as Jesus’ Team, he could roll to an easy victory on the lead. This is especially true at Del Mar where the track often plays lightning fast.