The draw for the 2021 Preakness Stakes happened on Tuesday, May 11. As to be expected, Pimlico Race Course will allow Medina Spirit to run. The Bob Baffert trained horse failed a drug test after crossing the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby. Baffert has agreed to additional testing so that Medina can get on the track. Heading into the second half of the week, the Derby winner remains the chalk. Baffert’s other runner, Concert Tour, is second-choice. Check out current odds on MyBookie as well as a mid-week Preakness Stakes odds analysis.
Mid-Week Preakness Stakes Updated Odds: Medina Spirit and Concert Tour are Chalks
2021 Preakness Stakes
- When: Saturday, May 15
- Where: Pimlico Race Course, Baltimore, MD
- Weather: Partly Cloudy
2021 Preakness Stakes Odds
- Medina Spirit +200
- Concert Tour +275
- Midnight Bourbon +500
- Crowded Trade +1000
- Risk Taking +1200
- Rombauer +1200
- Keepmeinmind +1400
- Unbridled Honor +1600
- France Go de Ina +2000
- Ram +2500
Among the top four choices, Medina Spirit, Concert Tour, Crowded Trade, and Midnight Bourbon, which offers the fairest odds?
Midnight Bourbon’s trainer, Steve Asmussen, has said that on Saturday his horse will either go for the lead or press the pace. Concert Tour has a go for the lead or press the pace style. Medina Spirit has won his races either a length off or on the lead.
The three top choices shouldn’t give each other a break. We should witness a much faster first half-mile than what we saw in the Kentucky Derby.
Because the three chalks will go after each other early, the horse offering the fairest odds among the top four choices is Crowded Trade. Based on at least one speed rating, Crowded Trade has run faster than any other horse in the race.
If Crowded Trade produces the same race that he did in the Gotham, the Chad Brown trained runner should roll right by Concert Tour, Midnight Bourbon, and Medina Spirit.
Which horse among Risk Taking, Rombauer, Keepmeinmind, and Unbridled Honor offers overlay odds?
Keepmeinmind may have peaked when finishing third behind Essential Quality and Hot Rod Charlie in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Even though he won the Kentucky Jockey Club, Keepmeinmind didn’t run as fast as he did in the BC Juvenile.
Unbridled Honor could take a step forward. But he’d have to really improve to win the Preakness. The Todd Pletcher trained runner may not take enough of a step forward.
Rombauer and Risk Taking, though, offer overlay odds. Risk Taking bobbled at the start of the Wood Memorial. He’s got an excuse for running so badly. Rombauer ran great when finishing third behind Essential Quality and Highly Motivated in the Grade 2 Blue Grass.
The Mike McCarthy trainee is versatile. He laid 2 lengths off the front runners in the Blue Grass. Rombauer won the El Camino Real Derby by coming out of the clouds. On Saturday, Rombauer could get a perfect spot, 2 to 3 lengths behind the front runners. If he’s improved at all, the Twirling Candy sired runner could win the second jewel.
Based on the current odds, should horseplayers consider wagering on France Go de Ina or Ram?
Wayne Lukas, Ram’s trainer, is shooting for the moon. Ram looked good in his last race. But it was an allowance. Ram has the breeding to win the Preakness. But it doesn’t look like he’s matured enough as a racehorse to get into the winner’s circle.
France Go de Ina, though, could pull off the upset. The horse may be the best bred runner in the field. Will Take Charge sired while Dreamy Blues, France Go de Ina’s broodmare, calls Curlin her sire.
Don’t look past France Go de Ina to pull off a miracle victory. No horse in the race, including Medina Spirit, appears much better than many of the other contenders. Who knows?
Ina’s Japanese connections didn’t send the runner to Baltimore just so they could order awesome crab cakes. So if you want to back a +2000 or higher longshot, France Go de Ina is the one.