Like most race days, on Thursday Oaklawn Park offers great dirt races with big purses. We analyze and make picks for a $61,000 allowance, a $50,000 allowance optional claimer, and a $30,000 claimer. Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Oaklawn Park for Thursday, April 16. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.
Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks
- When: Thursday, April 16 at 2:05 pm ET
- Where: Hot Springs, AR
- Weather: Mostly Sunny
- Temperature: High 68 – Low 46
Oaklawn Park Picks for Thursday, April 16
Race 5 – 4:06 pm ET – 1 1/16 Miles Dirt – $61,000 Allowance
At first glance it looks like 3/1 on the morning line Horse Racing Odds rail horse Prospector Fever takes a step up in class. But a deeper look reveals that this is a state-bred allowance, meaning Fever may have raced against better in that $15,000 optional claimer in its last. Sarah Davidson has trained this one to back-to-back wins. Also, Prospector Fever could get lost in the betting because some may misinterpret the class move.
Siouxper Charger must work hard to get the lead from post-position 10. That’s the reason to relegate the Daniel Pietz runner to second. If jockey Ricardo Santana does get the lead aboard the 3-year-old colt, Siouxper Charger could go gate-to-wire. So, if the odds drift higher than the 5/2 morning line, consider for the win.
Tammy Hornsby sired Sunday Sermon won at this distance over the mud to break its maiden in its last. The front runner has worked awesome for this. Sermon should get the lead with Prospector Fever and Siouxper Charger tracking. Hornsby is 0-for-12 with last out maiden winners, which makes Sermon a better pick for third.
- Win: Prospector Fever
- Place: Siouxper Charger
- Show: Sunday Sermon
Race 8 – 5:38 pm ET – 1 1/16 Miles Dirt – $50,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
The last time the Todd Pletcher trained Nonna Madeline raced in an allowance the 4-year-old Candy Ride filly won by 5 ¾ lengths. That was a top allowance event at Gulfstream Park. Madeline is the chalk in this and even though it’s tough to back chalk, she towers over this field if she’s ready.
Trainer Peter Miller stretches Mongolian Humor from 6 ½ furlongs to this 1 1/6 mile race. Miller conditioned Humor to 4 wins and 5 second place finishes from 22 races at Santa Anita and Del Mar. This one should hang with the rest of this field and deserves consideration for the win if you don’t like the Pletcher runner.
Unique Factor should get the perfect trip. This filly has yet to win from 3 races at Oaklawn. But Unique Factor does have 2 second place finishes. Trainer Valorie Lund stretches this one out. The Factor sired runner figures to prefer this event’s longer distance than the 6 furlongs she raced at in her last.
- Win: Nonna Madeline
- Place: Mongolian Humor
- Show: Unique Factor
Race 9 – 6:09 pm ET – 6 Furlongs Dirt – $30,000 Claiming
Wayne Lukas puts the saddle on big time class dropper Market King. The Into Mischief sired runner finished third in a $50K claimer in its last. D. Wayne raced this one in the Rebel, Bluegrass, and Preakness last year. Market King never developed into a top 3-year-old. Lukas may have found the colt’s best levels. The drop should lead to a win.
Firery Tale failed against $55K state-bred allowance runners in its last. The 4-year-old gelding goes back to $30K claiming n2L on Thursday. That move alone makes this one a contender. Tale goes second time for trainer Wesley Hawley, a 33% winning move, and this is the gelding’s third race in the form cycle.
Robertino Diodoro runner Attained Success must break from post-12. That’s never a good thing. But Attained Success has enough speed to get into a good position. If jockey Orlando Mojica doesn’t lose ground around the first turn, the Diodoro runner could win. Using on top and bottom in the exotics makes sense.
- Win: Market King
- Place: Firery Tale
- Show: Attained Success