Baseball fans far and wide breathed a rather loud sigh of relief when the MLB and the MLBPA finally got their act together and decided on a new agreement. The timing of the deal means that we will indeed get a full 162-game season, which is really all that fans wanted in the first place. We are getting what we wanted, so now it’s time to start thinking about wagering and which games to play. There are some who will tell you that betting on the early part of the season is tough, but you could certainly argue that it’s also the time of the season when the best value is on offer.
It takes time for the bookies to adjust their odds over the season so that things swing in their favor, but there are a few factors that make early season MLB betting the best way to build your bankroll.
MLB Season: Why Betting Early Offers the Best Value
Hot and Cold Starts
We all have an idea of the teams who will win their respective divisions and potentially make a run to the World Series, but those teams don’t always start the season hot. The cream does always seem to find a way to rise to the top, but slow starts are common, as are unexpectedly hot starts from teams that don’t figure to be anywhere near the postseason. The goal is to figure out which teams will fall into the hot camp and then try to ride them until their bubble bursts.
Weather is a Factor
Yes, the spring training season is shorter than usual this season, but also long enough for players to get acclimated to warmer weather. That all changes when the season begins and teams head back to their hometowns, some of which are still going to be very cold through the first few weeks of the season. The advantage here is on the teams who are used to playing in the cold, so look for those teams to do well early on, especially when they have a hard throwing pitcher on the mound. There are going to be some great odds available early on.
Keep an Eye on the Run Total
In the early part of the season, we very often see lower scores as everyone tries to adjust to getting up to speed in real games. It really does take bookies some time to adjust their odds making, which means that there are going to be a lot of value plays on the total on any given day. Teams are not going to leave their ace pitchers out on the mound for full games early in the season, so also look for teams that might have a dominating bullpen.
Bookies are only human, and just like bettors, they need some time to fully evaluate pitchers and matchups so that they can get to the business of setting odds that fall in their favor. This tends to result in some lines hitting the board that are perhaps a little too good to be true. Learn how to spot those lines and jump on them so that you can get your 2022 MLB season off to a winning start.
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