Padres vs Dodgers MLB Game Predictions & Betting Odds

Padres vs Dodgers | MLB Game Predictions & Betting Odds

Written by on August 5, 2022

The San Diego Padres probably aren’t catching the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West … unless the now-loaded Friars could perhaps sweep a series in LA this weekend. The teams open a huge set Friday with the Dodgers favored on the MLB odds.

How to Bet Padres at Dodgers MLB Odds & TV Info

  • When: Friday, 10:10 PM ET
  • Where: Dodger Stadium
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Sean Manaea/Tony Gonsolin
  • TV: MLB Extra Innings
  • Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/
  • Opening MLB Lines: Dodgers -150, Padres +140 (total 8.5 runs)

Why Bet on San Diego?

The San Diego lineup is just absurd right now after the trades this week for Washington’s Juan Soto and Josh Bell and Cincinnati’s Brandon Drury. In his first at-bat as a Padre on Wednesday, all Drury did was hit a grand slam. Drury became just the third player since 1900 to hit a grand slam in his first plate appearance with his new team after being traded mid-season. He’s how sitting on a career-high 21 home runs, tied for a career-high with 63 RBIs and his OPS (.867). Just wait until Fernando Tatis Jr. gets back healthy.

Tatis faced live pitching for the second time Wednesday, this time against both a lefty and a righty from the Padres’ minor league system. A rehab assignment is near, but the Padres will have Tatis partake in another session on Friday in Los Angeles before making that decision. It’s not yet clear how many games he’ll need to get fully up to speed, but he is closing in on a return.

It’s lefty Sean Manaea on the mound Friday. Manaea (6-5) earned the win during last Sunday’s 3-2 victory over Minnesota, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks with seven strikeouts in six innings. Manaea navigated the first four frames unscathed but ran into trouble, surrendering solo home runs in the fifth and sixth innings while stranding the bases loaded in the fifth. The 30-year-old fired 56 of 83 pitches for strikes and the seven strikeouts matched his best total across his last nine turns. Manaea has a 4.25 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with 111 strikeouts in 110 innings across 19 starts.

Among qualifying pitchers, Manaea leads the league in the percentage of fastballs thrown at a staggeringly high 61.9%. In fact, Manaea has only thrown a breaking pitch 14% of the time this season, relying more heavily on a changeup used as his primary off-speed pitch.

He has faced the Dodgers once this season, on April 24 in San Diego. He gave up seven runs in 4 1/3 innings.

Why Bet on Los Angeles?

The Dodgers completed a four-game sweep in San Francisco on Thursday with a 5-3 victory. It was LA’s eighth straight win against the Giants, which the Dodgers hadn’t accomplished since rattling off eight straight wins from August 19, 2006 to April 8, 2007. Los Angeles is now 32-12 against the National League West division this season.

But the news wasn’t all good as three-time Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw left with low back pain. Kershaw, 34, appeared to be uncomfortable after throwing warm up pitches before the fifth inning, and appeared to mouth “it’s my back” on camera. Kershaw missed time earlier this year with a back injury.

While it may not happen Friday, infielder/outfielder Chris Taylor is likely to be activated from the injured list at some point this weekend. Taylor has been out since early July with a fracture in his foot. It hasn’t been a vintage offensive showing for Taylor, who owns a .238/.319/.409 line through 285 plate appearances. He’s still walking at a strong rate and has collected 19 doubles, but he’s struck out at a personal-high 35.4% clip.

All-Star Freddie Freeman is looking to become the first first baseman to lead the league in hits since Adrián González in 2011 (tied with Michael Young) and the first outright first baseman to lead the league in hits since Don Mattingly in 1986.

It’s Cy Young contender Tony Gonsolin on the mound here. Gonsolin (12-1) allowed three runs on five hits, a walk and a hit batsman while striking out six over five innings to earn the win over the Rockies last Sunday. Gonsolin limited the damage to the third inning, when he gave up a solo home run to Brian Serven and a two-run single to Randal Grichuk. Gonsolin did well enough to earn his first win in his last three starts. He still has a 2.41 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and 96:28 K:BB across 104.2 innings in 19 starts this year but has surrendered 12 runs in his last 16 innings.

Gonsolin won his lone start against San Diego this year, allowing one run and four hits over 7.2 innings.

Game Trends

  • Padres are 12-2 in their last 14 Friday games.
  • Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Dodgers are 38-13 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 37-16 in their last 53 Friday games.
  • Padres are 15-40 in the last 55 meetings in Los Angeles.

Expert Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 5 
 

MLB Betting Center



Get your Updated MLB Betting Odds here!