White Sox vs Orioles MLB Betting Picks, Odds Analysis and Prediction

White Sox vs Orioles | MLB Betting Picks, Odds Analysis and Prediction

Written by on August 23, 2022

The Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles are both chasing Wild Card spots – the White Sox still could win the AL Central as well – as they meet in Charm City to open a series on Tuesday. The Sox are favored on the MLB odds behind ace Dylan Cease.

How to Bet White Sox at Orioles MLB Odds & TV Info

Why Bet on Chicago?

The White Sox have lost catcher Yasmani Grandal for perhaps a month with a hyperextended left knee. Grandal is dealing with inflammation caused by the hyperextension and will progress as tolerated. He suffered the injury in the Sox’ 2-0 victory Saturday night, attempting to score from second on Elvis Andrus’ single in the seventh inning. Grandal is batting .203 with three home runs in 74 games. Catcher Carlos Perez was selected from Triple-A Charlotte to take his place on the active roster.

Perez is a 25-year-old who has been in the White Sox organization for his entire career so far. He made his professional debut in rookie ball back in 2014 and has been working his way up the minor league ladder since. He has never been a highly-touted prospects. He hit 17 homers in Triple-A on the year after only hitting 20 total long balls in his seven previous minor league seasons. He’s also struck out in just 8.2% of his plate appearances, which is barely one third of the 22.3% MLB average.

Chicago also remains without leadoff hitter and All-Star shortstop Tim Anderson, and he’s probably at least three weeks away from a return from his hand issue.

The Sox are hitting .264/.314/.391 on the road … their .264 road average leads MLB. José Abreu (1st, .344), Andrew Vaughn (3rd, .328) and Luis Robert (5th, .326) rank among the Top 5 in the AL in road average. Abreu ranks fourth in the AL with a .945 OPS, and Vaughn is sixth at .895.

It’s ace right-hander Dylan Cease (12-5, 2.09 ERA), an AL Cy Young contender, on the mound. Cease was supposed to start Sunday vs. Cleveland but it was rained out. Cease allowed three runs on six hits and three walks while striking out four over five innings in a no-decision versus the Astros last Tuesday. His record streak of 14 straight starts allowing one earned run or fewer ended.

Cease ranks second in the major leagues in strikeouts per 9.0 IP (11.99) and ERA (2.09) and fourth in strikeouts (178). He is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA (4 ER/18.0 IP), 29 strikeouts and a .156 (10-64) opponents’ average over three career starts against the Orioles.

Why Bet on Baltimore?

On Monday, the Orioles activated rookie infielder Terrin Vavra from the paternity leave list. Vavra will rejoin the Orioles for Tuesday’s series opener against the White Sox after being away from the club for three games. The 25-year-old right-hander has hit .282/.375/.359 with seven RBI in 18 games since being called up in late July from Triple-A Norfolk. Infielder Richie Martin was sent down in a corresponding roster move.

Outfielder Brett Phillips cleared waivers and accepted an outright assignment to Triple-A Norfolk on Sunday. Phillips was cast off the Orioles’ 40-man roster Sunday but will remain in the organization after he went unclaimed on waivers. He’s slashed just .144/.217/.249 with five homers, 22 runs, 15 RBI and seven stolen bases over 83 major-league games this year but will attempt to sort things out in the minors.

Cedric Mullins (shin/foot) went 1-for-5 with a run scored and three strikeouts in Sunday’s 5-3 win over the Red Sox. Mullins missed one game after fouling a ball off his right leg/foot Friday. The outfielder has gone 6-for-21 (.286) during a five-game hitting streak, which has included a home run, a triple and two doubles. He’s slashing .265/.324/.406 with 11 homers, 49 RBI, 65 runs scored and 25 steals through 117 contests.

Catcher Adley Rutschman’s team-leading 3.3 fWAR is tied for first among MLB rookies and tied for fifth among catchers (min. 250 PA), per FanGraphs. Rutschman’s 136 wRC+ leads the O’s and is second among MLB catchers. His nine defensive runs saved are tied for the team lead and rank second among catchers, per Sports Info Solutions.

It’s Austin Voth (3-1) on the mound Tuesday. Voth didn’t factor into the decision in last Wednesday’s 6-1 loss to the Blue Jays, scattering two hits and a walk over six scoreless innings while striking out three. The quality start was Voth’s first of the season — it was the first time he’s completed six innings since moving into the Baltimore rotation. Over his last 10 appearances (nine starts and a relief outing), the 30-year-old sports a 2.79 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 37:11 K:BB through 42 innings.

Voth made his first start of the year and did not factor in the decision on June 24 against the White Sox for his sole career appearance against the team, tossing 3.0 innings, allowing one run on one hit with two walks and three strikeouts in the O’s 4-1 win. He has a 3-1 record with a 2.76 ERA (13 ER/42.1 IP) as a starter this year.

The Birds have gone 34-23 at Oriole Park this season and their .596 home winning percentage is fourth in the AL and eighth in MLB. Baltimore has outscored their opponents 251-222 (+29) at home this year.  The Orioles have won 14 of their last 20 home games.

Expert Prediction

  • White Sox 5, Orioles 3

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