Updated World Series Odds After Week 18 of the Season

Updated World Series Odds After Week 18 of the Season

Written by on August 16, 2022

The Texas Rangers are +200000 to win the World Series and it’s probably safe to say that won’t happen as the Rangers entered this week at 51-63 and 9.5 games back of the final American League Wild Card spot. On Monday, the team chose to fire manager Chris Woodward. Here is the preview for your favorite MLB bets.

World Series 2022 Odds After Week 18 of the Season

Woodward, after his fourth consecutive year with a losing mark, will be replaced by third-base coach Tony Beasley, who has been named interim manager through the remainder of the 2022 season.

“Chris Young and I had the very difficult task of informing Chris Woodward of our decision today,” said Rangers president of baseball operations Jon Daniels in a statement. “In his tenure as Rangers’ manager, Chris worked tirelessly under what was at times some difficult circumstances. He has been dedicated and passionate in his efforts to improve the on-field performance of the Texas Rangers, and it is greatly appreciated. He has represented the organization with class and dignity.

“We have had extensive discussions over the last several weeks and while the team’s current performance is certainly a big part of this decision, we are also looking at the future. As the Rangers continue to develop a winning culture and put the pieces together to compete for the postseason year in and year out, we felt a change in leadership was necessary at this time.”

It’s a little surprising because the team has been more competitive than last season, and back in November the front office had given Woodward, who was originally hired in 2019, a one-year extension for 2023 plus a club option for 2024. The additions of Corey Seager Marcus Semien and Jon Gray this past winter heightened expectations following a 60-102 season in 2021. Woodward’s downfall: The Rangers’ abysmal 6-24 record in one-run games. The team’s run differential was just -2, suggesting it was performing closer to .500 ball than its record indicates.

The Rangers dominated the AL West from 2010 to 2016, winning two American League pennants and reaching the postseason five times in seven years, but have yet to have a winning season in the six years since their glorious run.

It has been a rough year for managerial job security. It began in June with World Series championship managers Joe Girardi and Joe Maddon being fired by the Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Angels. Charlie Montoyo, who led the Toronto Blue Jays to the postseason in 2020, was fired in July.

We are pretty deep into the season now so it’s unlikely that another manager is fired but you can bet every dollar you have that the Marlins will can Don Mattingly once the season is over. The Marlins also are +200000 to win the World Series but will miss the playoffs as well.

The Los Angeles Dodgers remain +380 favorites to win the World Series. The Dodgers are 34-6 (.850) since June 29 and lead the Major Leagues with a +247 run differential on the season, just ahead of the Yankees (+201). Los Angeles has allowed 363 runs this year, fewest in baseball.

Los Angels run differential in just road games is +2.50. That leads the Majors and is third all-time behind the 1939 Yankees (+3.87) and 1906 Cubs (+2.54).

The Dodgers finished interleague play with a 15-5 (.750) mark in 20 Interleague games this season, which is the second-best record in Major League Baseball. Since the beginning of Interleague play, the Dodgers hold a 239-215 record (.527 winning percentage), which is the best mark amongst National League teams. The Dodgers 15-5 mark is third all-time in franchise history, trailing only the 2017 and 2020 teams that went 16-4 in interleague play.

The Houston Astros (+425), New York Yankees (+450) and New York Mets (+475) round out the WS favorites. Since the start of July, Mets starters have posted a MLB-best 2.37 ERA (61 earned runs/231.1 innings) in 39 games with 258 strikeouts and 53 walks. The Dodgers are second in that period with a 2.62 ERA, followed by the Astros with a 3.20 ERA. New York’s 258 strikeouts in that span lead the NL and are second in the majors. The team’s starters ERA has dropped from 4.09 to 3.43 in that span.

The Mets are a season-high 35 games over .500. The last time the team was 35 games above .500 was when they were a season-high 35 games over on September 13, 2006.

Expert World Series PredictionMets over Astros
 

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