Updated World Series Odds After Week 19 Of The Season

Updated World Series Odds After Week 19 Of The Season

Written by on August 30, 2022

Are the Toronto Blue Jays legitimate World Series contenders? They are +1400 sixth favorites to win it all but come off an embarrassing home sweep over the weekend vs. the Los Angeles Angels and might not even earn a Wild Card spot in the American League – although they do currently hold down the last spot. Here is the preview for your MLB betting.

Updated World Series Odds After Week 19 Of The Season

The Blue Jays didn’t just lose the series to the Angels, they were thoroughly beaten by a non-contending team that came to Canada riding a six-game losing streak. This weekend caught everyone off guard, and coming off a stretch defined by the word “urgency,” interim manager John Schneider had a simple message for his club.

Over the course of 72 hours, the Blue Jays were outscored 22-3, out-hit 32-17, and out-classed generally by a club that, even after winning these three, sits 14 games back of the third American League wild card spot Toronto currently inhabits.

For the series, the Blue Jays went 1-for-19 with runners in scoring position and left 27 runners on base. A physical error was recorded in each of the three games. Mental ones were even more prevalent.

“Attention to detail and a good offensive approach,” interim manager John Schneider said when asked what his club had to do to play with more consistency. “Look at the standings and understand that every game is important. And three hours out of your day needs to be completely focused on trying to win. That’s the goal moving forward.”

Offensively, the Jays are as good as anyone. Toronto features six batters with at least 100 hits this season, tied with the LA Dodgers and Colorado for the most in the Majors. If Matt Chapman (99) and Teoscar Hernández (99) can each pick up a hit early this week, the Blue Jays will have eight players with 100+ hits prior to September for the 1st time in team history.

Toronto leads the AL in batting average (.261), slugging (.427), and OPS (.751) this season while sitting 2nd in OBP (.324) and runs per game (4.64). Blue Jay batters have combined for a hard hit (95+ MPH) percentage of 44.2, the top rate in MLB (2nd: ATL – 43.3), while their average exit velocity of 90.3 MPH is also the highest mark in the Majors (2nd: NYY – 90.0).

Keep in mind that MLB has introduced a new, 12-team format for the 2022 post-season. Six AL teams and six NL teams will qualify for a straightforward bracket-style playoff. The top two seeds get a bye through the opening round. The No. 1 seed will then face the winner of the No. 4 vs. No. 5 matchup and the No. 2 seed meets the winner of No. 3 vs. No. 6 in the second round.

The Tampa Bay Rays hold down the top AL Wild-Card spot and are +3500 to win their first World Series. Since the end of play on July 2, the Rays have held a postseason spot for 57 of 58 days. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, the Rays’ remaining schedule has a weighted opponents’ winning pct. of .546, highest in the AL and 2nd in the majors behind the Diamondbacks (.561). The Rays have 36 games remaining and play the Blue Jays (9), Red Sox (7), Astros (6), Yankees (6), Guardians (3), Rangers (3) and Marlins (2).

The Rays are averaging 4.77 runs per game in 22 games since Aug 4, 8th in the majors and 2nd in the AL behind the Astros (5.05) over that stretch. During this 22-game stretch, the Rays have scored 5 runs (or more) 10 times and 6 runs (or more) eight times. By comparison, the Rays averaged 3.00 runs per game in their first 12 games after the All-Star break and they scored 3 runs (or fewer) in nine of the 12 games.

The Rays have a 3.35 ERA this season, 4th in MLB behind the Dodgers (2.86), Astros (3.05) and Yankees (3.29). They are 53-15 when yielding 3 runs (or fewer) and 16-42 when allowing 4 runs (or more).

Seattle holds the second AL Wild-Card spot and is +3000 to win its first World Series – the Mariners have never been there. The Mariners secured a winning month of August and have put together a winning month in 4 of 5 calendar months this season and 10 of their last 12 since Sept. 2020. Seattle is 51-1 this season when taking a lead into the 8th inning.


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