Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Prediction and Betting Trends for Playoffs in Game 5

Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Prediction and Betting Trends for Playoffs in Game 5

The home team has won all four games in the Western Conference first-round series between the Warriors and Kings as it returns to Sacramento for Game 5 on Wednesday, and it appears that Kings star De’Aaron Fox will play through a fractured index finger. Check out the NBA betting analysis for this game in a tied series.


Warriors vs. Kings, Game 5 | 2023 NBA Playoffs Expert Analysis


How to Bet Golden State at Sacramento NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Wednesday, 10 PM ET
Where: Golden 1 Center
Stream: TNT app
Radio: Tunein.com
NBA Odds: Warriors -1.5 (234.5)


Why Bet on Golden State?

The Warriors evened the series with a 126-125 home win on Sunday despite Steph Curry in the final minute taking a timeout out the team didn’t have, which led to a four-point Kings possession and nearly a comeback win. Curry got let off the hook when Harrison Barnes missed an open three-pointer at the end.

The blunder was similar to Chris Webber’s infamous 1993 NCAA championship moment known simply as “The Timeout,” in which the Michigan star attempted to call for a timeout while his team had none remaining, resulting in a technical foul that clinched the game for North Carolina.

“100 percent my fault,” Coach Steve Kerr told reporters. “I knew we didn’t have any timeouts left. We took the challenge, and when the challenge was unsuccessful, as we were exiting the huddle, that’s on me. I’ve got to remind the guys we’re out of timeouts.”

Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson have won 94 playoff games together, the 3rd-most by a trio in NBA postseason history. They trail the trios of Tim Duncan, Tony Parker & Manu Ginobili (126), along with Abdul-Jabbar, Magic Johnson & Michael Cooper (110).

Curry had 32 points, five rebounds and four assists. He needs five points to tie Magic Johnson (3,701) for 15th on the NBA Playoffs all-time points scored list. Green returned to the lineup Sunday after serving a one-game suspension. Surprisingly, the coaching staff opted to bring Green off the bench, sticking with Jordan Poole in the starting unit. Green had 12 points and 10 rebounds. Thompson had 26 points.

Kerr said Tuesday that guard Gary Payton II (illness) wasn’t himself in Game 4, but he expects the defensive-minded guard to play more in Game 5. After posting 10.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 2.0 steals and 1.0 assists in 23.5 minutes over the first two matchups of the opening-round series, Payton missed Game 3 due to an illness and saw just seven minutes in Game 4.

Golden State has won at least one road playoff game in 27 straight series, an NBA record, but hasn’t yet in this series. The Warriors are 14-4 in Game 5s in the playoffs since 2015, including a 1-2 record on the road.

Bet Warriors to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Why Bet on Sacramento?

The big story for tonight is the status of Kings All-Star De’Aaron Fox. He fractured the tip of his left (shooting) index finger in Game 4 and was originally listed as doubtful for Game 5 but plans to play through the pain. Fox participated in a noncontact practice on Tuesday and told reporters afterward there’s “no ifs, ands or buts. I’m playing.”

Fox said he had no problems dribbling and passing and the biggest question was making sure he could deal with the pain and make his shot. Fox notched a game-high 38 points on 14-of-31 shooting from the field with nine boards and five dimes in the Kings’ Game 4 loss at Chase Center. He is averaging 31.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 7.0 assists in his playoff debut.

“At the end of the day, I’m fine,” he said. “I can shoot the ball. At this point in the season, everybody has something. Obviously a bone might not be chipped, but something is hurting on everybody. So you go out there and you still play the game. I’m not worried about it.”

Keegan Murray was good Sunday with 23 points and seven rebounds. Over his last 15 games, Murray has knocked down 50 triples, which ranked for sixth most in the NBA over that time, while making 43.5% of his 3-point tries. Among players with 75 or more 3-point attempts in their last 15 games, he ranked 12th in 3-point shooting percentage.

Davion Mitchell provided a huge boost off the bench with 12 points. He would likely start if for some reason Fox doesn’t play. Harrison Barnes struggled with nine points on 3-of-10 shooting before missing the shot that could’ve sent the Kings back home with a chance to close out the series.

All-Star center Domantas Sabonis had a poor game with 14 points, eight assists and seven rebounds but Sacramento was outscored by nine points during his 37 minutes on the court. Draymond Green blocked a Sabonis shot with 97 seconds left in the fourth quarter of Game 4 that would’ve cut the Warriors’ lead to one point. Green and Kevon Looney have done a terrific job guarding Sabonis.

Bet Kings to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Game Trends

  • Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.
  • Warriors are 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.
  • Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Kings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.
  • Warriors are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Expert Prediction

Kings 120, Warriors 118


De’Aaron Fox (38 pts) vs Stephen Curry (32 pts) in Game 4


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