Warriors vs Kings Odds, Prediction and Betting Trends for Play-In Tournament

Warriors vs Kings Odds, Prediction and Betting Trends for Play-In Tournament

The defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors were wildly inconsistent during the 2022-23 regular season and landed as only the sixth seed in the West. They open defense of their title on Saturday night at No. 3 seed Sacramento with the game near a pick’em on the NBA odds.


Warriors vs. Kings, Game 1 | 2023 NBA Expert Analysis


How to Bet Golden State at Sacramento NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Saturday, 8:30 PM ET
Where: Golden 1 Center
Stream: ESPN+
Radio: Tunein.com
NBA Odds: Warriors -1 (total 238.5)


Season Series

Golden State won three of four meetings this season, including the most recent one on April 7 in Sacramento, 119-97. Klay Thompson scored 29 points and Stephen Curry added 25. Trey Lyles and Chimezie Metu each scored 15 points to lead the Kings, who rested their top three scorers with De’Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis and Kevin Huerter all getting the night off. These neighboring franchises had never made the playoffs in the same season previously since the Kings moved to Sacramento for the 1985-86 campaign.


Why Bet on Golden State?

The Warriors closed the regular season on a three-game winning streak, hanging 157 points on Portland in the finale on Sunday in a blowout. The Dubs set an NBA record with 55 first-quarter points. Steph Curry had 26 points and Klay Thompson, who scored 20 points, became the third player in NBA history to hit at least 300 3-pointers in a single season. He led the NBA with 301 makes.

Curry ended the season with averages of 29.4 points, 6.3 assists and 6.1 rebounds per game while shooting 42.7 percent from deep, his best mark since the 2018-19 campaign. Jordan Poole had 21 points and finished averaging 20.4 points and 4.5 assists. He was a rare player in the NBA to play all 82 games.

The Warriors had 19 games this season with 20-or-more 3-pointers made, the most such games in a single season in NBA history. The Warriors broke a tie with the 2018-19 Rockets (18). The team scored 349 points off of offensive rebounds grabbed by Kevon Looney’s league-leading 271 offensive rebounds. The 349 points are the most in the NBA this season off of offensive rebounds. The second-most points is 320 from Sacramento Kings center Domantas Sabonis’ 246 offensive rebounds (ranked fourth in the NBA).

Golden State averaged 118.9 ppg this season, second-highest scoring average in the NBA behind Sacramento (120.7 ppg). The Warriors also ranked second in 3-point field goal percentage (.385 3P%).

Golden State has 18 consecutive playoff series wins against Western Conference teams. The last time the Warriors lost a playoff series against a Western Conference team was in 2014 when they fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 4-3 in the first-round series. It is the longest streak to date since 1970-71, the first season of conferences. Golden State has had 18 consecutive playoff series in which it has won at least one road game, an NBA record streak that began with a road victory in Denver in the First Round of the 2013 NBA Playoffs.

Bet Warriors to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Why Bet on Sacramento?

Sacramento is in the playoffs for the first time since 2006, ending not just the longest playoff drought in the NBA but in all four of the major US pro leagues. Kings Head Coach Mike Brown was an assistant coach for the Warriors for six seasons (2016-22), including three championship runs (2017, 2018, 2022).

De’Aaron Fox has scored 20+ points in 9 of his last 15 games, including 25 points or more in 6 of those outings, averaging 23.7 points and 5.6 assists per game on 50.8% shooting in that span. Fox was one of the league’s top scorers this season in crunch time as the Kings guard is averaging 5.0 points per game in those instances, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Fox also ranks first in field goals made (72) while shooting 52.9% from the floor, which ranks sixth among players with a minimum of 40 field goals attempted in those instances. In the fourth quarter this season, Fox has totaled 547 points (203-402 FG), ranking first in the NBA in total Q4 points.

Domantas Sabonis ranks first in double-doubles (65), second in rebounds per game (12.3) and first in total rebounds while sitting second in triple-doubles (14). The seventh-year center-forward is averaging 19.1 points, 12.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game as he is on pace to become the fourth player in NBA history to notch averages of at least 18.6 points, 12.2 rebounds and 7.0 assists.

Kevin Huerter has been impactful for the Kings this season, averaging 15.2 points per game while shooting 40.1% from behind the 3-point line. Among players who have attempted at least 250 3-point field goals this season, Huerter ranks 26th in 3-point field goal percentage as the fifth-year guard has made five or more 3s in 11 games. Malik Monk is currently averaging 13.6 points and 3.9 assists per game off the bench.

The Kings’ 118.6 offensive rating is the highest in NBA history, in part because the pick-and-roll offense featuring Sabonis and Fox has been spectacular. The Kings outscore opponents by 10.0 points per 100 possessions in the clutch — fourth best in the NBA.

Bet Kings to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


Game Trends

  • Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Warriors are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

Expert Prediction

Warriors 120, Kings 118


NBA Top 10 Plays Of The Play-In Tournament Series | April 11, 2023


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