#5 Houston vs South Florida Road to March Madness

#5 Houston vs South Florida Road to March Madness | 2021 NCAA Basketball Expert Analysis

Written by on February 9, 2021

It’s time to start taking No. 8 Houston as a serious Final Four contender. The Cougars are going to win the American Athletic Conference regular-season title and have an outside shot at a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament if they win out. They will be solid favorites on the NCAAB odds Wednesday at South Florida – which hasn’t played in weeks.

How to Bet Houston at South Florida NCAA Basketball Odds & TV Info

  • When: Wednesday, 7 PM ET
  • Where: Yuengling Center, Tampa
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio:com
  • Opening NCAAB Lines: TBA (Houston will be favored)

Last Meeting

These teams were supposed to play on Jan. 14 but it was postponed. Last year, Houston won both. IT was 62-58 in Tampa. Quentin Grimes scored nine of his 22 points in the final 3:28 for the Cougars. They led 45-34 before USF rallied to within 53-51. Grimes put the game away with help from DeJon Jarreau, who rebounded his own miss and scored for a 58-53 lead with 21 seconds to go. UH outscored USF 17-2 on second-chance opportunities. They also went 11 for 12 from the foul line, including 10 for 10 after halftime.

Why Bet on Houston? | 2021 NCAA Basketball Expert Analysis

Houston (16-2) was upset at East Carolina last Wednesday but then bounced back with an easy win over something called Our Lady of the Lake on Saturday, 112-46. Why Houston was playing an NAIA school is beyond me. It was a recent addition to the Cougars’ schedule after the COVID-19 pandemic forced two postponements and a cancellation.

Cougars sophomore guard Cameron Tyson made a school-record 10 3-pointers on his way to a career-high 32 points. Tyson, who scored 20 in the first half, beat his previous career high of 31 points against Tulane on Jan. 28.

Houston shot 55% from the field, including 15 of 31 on 3-pointers. The margin of victory was Houston’s largest since a 131-62 win over Florida Tech in November 2005.

”I wouldn’t say it really got (the bad taste from the loss) out of our mouths because it’s going to be something that sticks with us for the rest of the season, but I would say it did help,” Tyson said. ”We are looking forward to getting back to conference play.”

Houston is one of only five teams to rank among KenPom. com’s Top-18 national leaders in both offensive and defensive efficiencies. The Cougars stand at No. 18 offensively (114.0) and No. 5 defensively (88.0).

Senior forward Justin Gorham leads The American with 10.2 rebounds per game and is consistent on both ends of the floor. He also leads the league with 4.6 offensive rebounds per game and stands third with 5.6 defensive boards per contest. He’s the only player to rank among Top 3 in both categories.

Why Bet on South Florida? | 2021 NCAA Basketball Expert Analysis

USF (7-5) hasn’t played since a 69-63 at East Carolina way back on Jan. 9 as the Bulls have had six games postponed since.

South Florida is 12-20 in the all-time series against Houston that dates back to the 1976-77 season. USF is in search of its first win over a ranked opponent since defeating No. 19 Louisville in 2012. Houston and USF have the top two rebounding margins in the American Athletic Conference. Michael Durr is averaging 10.3 rebounds per game over his last six games.

USF has a 156-101 advantage in offensive rebounds and averages 13.0 per game so far this season. The Bulls have held seven of their 12 opponents to eight or fewer offensive rebounds thus far this season. In addition, the Bulls have finished with more second chance points in nine of 12 games and have scored 29 more second chance points than their opponents.

David Collins ranks eighth all-time at USF in scoring with 1,413 career points. Collins became the AAC career free throws made leader Jan. 2 against UCF.

The Bulls are holding opponents to just 28.9 percent from three-point range through 12 games this season. Justin Brown has made the fifth-most career three-pointers in school history with 175. Alexis Yetna is five double-doubles shy of moving into the top 10 all-time at USF. r. In the 47 games Yetna has appeared in a game for the Bulls, USF has only been outrebounded by its opponent 10 times. Meanwhile, USF is 23-9 since the start of the 2018-19 season when Brown scores in double figures.

Junior guard is shooting 55.6 percent (10-for-18) from three-point range over his last six games. Overall, Castaneda is shooting 44.4 percent from three-point range and ranks sixth in The American. Guard Caleb Murphy needs 165 more points to move into 10th place on the USF freshman single season scoring list. Murphy currently averages 10.1 points per game.

Expert College Basketball Prediction

Houston 69, South Florida 59


I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

Bet College Basketball Today
MyBookie Odds for the Games

College Basketball Betting Center

Updated NCAA Basketball Betting Odds | Betting Lines