Memphis Tigers vs Boise State Broncos Betting Analysis – March Madness Odds

The Memphis Tigers and Boise State Broncos tip off their Final Four quests on Thursday. Memphis is the slight chalk. The AAC Tournament runner up faces a solid underrated squad in Boise State. Will Memphis show why they’re the chalk? Or will Boise show they’re worthy of their 8-seed? See below for March Madness Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Memphis versus Boise State. 

Men’s College Basketball West Region: #9 Memphis vs #8 Boise State

Memphis Tigers versus Boise State Broncos Betting Info

• When: Thursday, March 17 at 1:45 pm ET

• Where: Moda Center, Portland, OR

• TV/Streaming: TNT

• Spread Odds: Memphis -2 ½   

• Moneyline Odds: Memphis -145  / Boise State +125

• Total Odds: O 133 ½ -110 / U 133 ½ -110   

Why bet on 9-Memphis versus 8-Boise State?

The Tigers picked it up in the regular season and in the AAC Tournament. Memphis won their last four regular season games. In their conference tournament, the Tigers beat and covered versus UCF and SMU before losing to the Houston Cougars in the tournament final. Memphis has boosted their field goal percentage to 47.3% and their 3-point percentage to 36.3%. The Tigers are averaging over 76 points per game, close to 7 points more than what Boise State averages. 

Memphis Tigers Offensive Averages

• Points/G: 76.1 

• FG %: 47.3

• 3PT %: 36.3

• FT %: 69.0

• Rebounds/G: 34.7 

Memphis Tigers Defensive Averages

• Points/G: 68.5

• FG %: 39.5

• 3PT %: 32.2 

• FT %: 69.7

• Rebounds/G: 29.9 

Why bet on 9-Boise State versus 8-Memphis?

Boise State doesn’t score as many points as Memphis per game, but it’s by choice. The Broncos average less than 70 points per because part of their strategy is to cut their opponents’ average possessions per game. The Broncos shoot close to 45% from the field and about 35% from three. So if Boise must score at a faster clip, they can. 

Boise State Broncos Offensive Averages

• Points/G: 69.2

• FG %: 44.8

• 3PT %: 34.9

• FT %: 64.4

• Rebounds/G: 32.4 

Boise State Broncos Defensive Averages

• Points/G: 60.8

• FG %: 42.8

• 3PT %: 32.5

• FT %: 72.7

• Rebounds/G: 27.3

9-Memphis vs 8-Bosie State Betting Trends

• Tigers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 neutral site games as a favorite
• Memphis is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games overall
• Under is 4-1 in the Tigers’ last 5 neutral site games
• Broncos are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog
• Boise State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
• Under is 4-0 in the Broncos’ last 5 neutral site games as an underdog 

9-Memphis vs 8-Boise State Betting Analysis

Most project this game as one of the most competitive in the first round. It might turn out that way, but after studying every angle, Boise State should have no trouble winning this on the moneyline.

The Memphis Tigers are a good basketball team. However, they struggled big time in the AAC Tournament versus a defensive first squad in Houston.

Boise State’s defense, statistically at least, is on par with the Cougars’. Memphis is the type of team that ends up taking bad shots, not blocking out, and trying to use their athleticism to beat their opponents.

Often, it works. But Boise is a defensive gem of a team. The Broncos allow less than 61 points per game and an amazing 42.8% from the field. The best shooting teams in the nation, including Gonzaga in the second round, will struggle against Boise State. Memphis loses this straight up. 

NCAAM Pick: Boise State moneyline

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