SMU Mustangs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: 3/12/2021 AAC Tournament Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Playoff Odds and Trends

Written by on March 12, 2021

The No. 4 seed SMU Mustangs (11-4) are 6-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 5 seed Cincinnati Bearcats (10-10) in the AAC Tournament quarterfinals Friday at Dickies Arena, starting at 3:00 PM ET on ESPN2.

Betting Information

SMU vs Cincinnati Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
SMU -6 -110 -110 143.5 -110 -110 -270 220

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Total Facts

  • In 46.7% of their opportunities this season (seven of 15 chances), the Mustangs and their opponents have put up more than this matchup’s point total of 143.5 points.
  • In 10 of 20 opportunities (50%) this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to score at least 143.5 points.
  • The Mustangs and the Bearcats combine to average 0.6 more points per game than the total of 143.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 138.5 points per game, 5.0 less than the point total for this matchup.
  • The average point total in Mustangs games this year is 2.6 fewer points than the over/under of 143.5 in this matchup.
  • Bearcats games this year have averaged a total of 141.8 points, 1.7 less than the point total in this matchup.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 74.3 points the Mustangs average per game are just 2.4 more points than the Bearcats allow (71.9).
  • SMU is 3-0-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall when scoring more than 71.9 points.
  • Cincinnati is 0-7 against the spread and 0-7 overall when giving up more than 74.3 points.
  • The Bearcats score just 3.2 more points per game (69.8) than the Mustangs give up (66.6).
  • Cincinnati has gone 8-6 overall and 5-0 against the spread in games it scores more than 66.6 points.
  • SMU is 0-4-1 against the spread and 2-4 overall when it allows its opponents to score more than 69.8 points.
  • The Mustangs have put up a total of 115 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 7.7 per game), while the Bearcats have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 41 total points, -2.1 per game).

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SMU Betting Information

  • SMU has covered in just six of 14 matchups this season.
  • When favored by at least 6 points, the Mustangs have fared well against the spread, compiling a 4-2-1 record.
  • SMU and its opponents have reached the total 7 times in 14 contests this season.

Cincinnati Betting Information

  • Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in more than half of its games, going 6-13 ATS.
  • The Bearcats have not fared well as a 6-point underdog going 1-4 against the spread.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in more than half of their matchups this year — 15 of 19 (78.9%).

Head to Head

SMU vs Cincinnati (Last 4 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/7/2021 SMU -6 142 -263 +211 Regular Season 76-69 CIN
1/28/2020 Cincinnati -5 138 -223 +177 Regular Season 65-43 CIN
2/27/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 52-49 CIN
2/2/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 73-68 CIN

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SMU Leaders

  • Kendric Davis leads the Mustangs in points and assists per game, scoring 17.7 points and distributing 7.6 assists.
  • Feron Hunt is SMU’s best rebounder, grabbing an average of 8.3 boards in each contest while scoring 11.9 points per game.
  • Emmanuel Bandoumel leads the Mustangs in three-point shooting with an average of 1.6 threes per game.
  • The SMU steals leader is Davis, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Yor Anei, who compiles 2.3 rejections per contest.

Cincinnati Leaders

  • Keith Williams is the top scorer for the Bearcats with 15.0 points per game. He also adds 4.1 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game to his statistics.
  • Tari Eason is atop the Bearcats rebounding leaderboard with 5.6 rebounds per game, and David Dejulius paces the team in assists with 4.6 per outing.
  • Jeremiah Davenport hits more threes per game than any other member of the Bearcats, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a rate of 2.0 per game.
  • Eason is at the top of the Cincinnati steals and blocks leaderboards with 1.2 steals per game and 1.2 blocks per game.
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