UCSB Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: 3/5/2021 Matchup Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 5, 2021

The Cal Poly Mustangs (3-17) will try to end a seven-game losing streak when they visit the UCSB Gauchos (16-4) on Friday, March 5, 2021 at The Thunderdome as heavy, 20-point underdogs. The game airs at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN3. The matchup’s point total is set at 130.

Betting Information

UCSB vs Cal Poly Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
UCSB -20 -110 -110 130 -108 -113 -5000 1420

Computer Picks

Computer picks for UCSB vs Cal Poly
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
UCSB (-20) Over (130) UCSB 79 Cal Poly 55

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Total Facts

  • In 65% of their opportunities this season (13 of 20 chances), the Gauchos and their opponents have combined to record more than this matchup’s point total of 130 points.
  • Cal Poly has played in 12 games this year (out of 20 total matchups — 60% of chances) where they and their opponents combined to score more than 130 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 5.4 more points per game (135.4) than this game’s over/under of 130 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.2 more points per game (134.2) than this game’s over/under of 130 points.
  • The average over/under the Gauchos have had set in matchups this season is 7.2 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average over/under in Mustangs games this year is 2.4 more points than the point total of 130 for this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 74 points the Gauchos put up per game are only three more points than the Mustangs give up (71).
  • UCSB is 11-1 overall and 7-0 against the spread when scoring more than 71 points.
  • Cal Poly has a 3-2 record against the spread and a 0-7 record overall when allowing more than 74 points.
  • The Mustangs score just 1.8 fewer points than the Gauchos give up (63.2).
  • Cal Poly is 6-0 against the spread and 3-5 overall when it scores more than 63.2 points.
  • UCSB is 4-7 against the spread and 7-4 overall when it gives up more than 61.4 points.
  • The Gauchos have scored a total of 215 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 10.8 per game), while the Mustangs have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 191 total points, -9.6 per game).

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UCSB Betting Information

  • UCSB is solid against the spread, going 10-8 this season.
  • Gauchos games have played to the total or above 9 times in 18 games this season.

Cal Poly Betting Information

  • The Mustangs have a 7-10 record against the spread, covering in just 41.2% of their games.
  • The Mustangs and their opponents have hit the over in fewer than half of their matchups this year — 4 of 17 (23.5%).

Head to Head

UCSB vs Cal Poly (Last 2 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
3/7/2020 UCSB -13 135 -1153 +684 Regular Season 69-67 USCB
1/8/2020 UCSB -9.5 131.5 -560 +386 Regular Season 63-45 USCB

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UCSB Leaders

  • The leader in points and assists for the Gauchos is JaQuori McLaughlin, who scores 16.0 points and dishes out 5.4 assists per game.
  • Amadou Sow leads the Gauchos in rebounding, grabbing 7.3 boards per game while also scoring 12.6 points a contest.
  • Ajare Sanni makes more threes per game than any other member of the Gauchos, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.8 per contest.
  • Devearl Ramsey is UCSB’s leader in steals, averaging 1.8 steals per game, while Miles Norris leads them in blocks with 1.0 per contest.

Cal Poly Leaders

  • Alimamy Koroma holds the top spot on the Mustangs leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 13.1 points and 5.8 rebounds per game.
  • Keith Smith records more assists than any other Cal Poly teammate with 3.6 per game. He also averages 5.2 points and pulls down 2.7 rebounds per game.
  • Mark Crowe’s 2.0 made threes per game lead the Mustangs.
  • Cal Poly’s leader in steals is Smith (1.3 per game), and its leader in blocks is Koroma (1.2 per game).
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