2019 NFL Week 4 Must-Bet Games

2019 NFL Week 4 Must-Bet Games

Written by on July 23, 2019

With the start of NFL preseason action just a few short weeks away, now is a great time to get an early jump on your 2019 betting selections, thanks to the complete offering of NFL regular season betting odds that have been recently released. Whether you like favorites, underdogs, home teams or road warriors, you’re going to get your fill of expert betting predictions from yours truly right now. With that said, let’s get down to business with my trio of Week 4 regular season picks.

2019 NFL Week 4 Must-Bet Games

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

  • When: Thursday, September 26, 2019 at 8:20 PM ET
  • Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
  • NFL Week 4 Odds: Green Bay -2

The Philadelphia Eagles may have come up short in their quest to repeat as Super Bowl champions last season, but I believe the Birds are poised to get right back in the Super Bowl mix after going a solid 9-7 a year ago and making a series of nice offseason additions to their roster in free agency and the draft. Quarterback Carson Wentz signed a long-term deal and I believe he’s poised to get back to playing at an MVP-caliber level this season while helping Philly contend for the NFC Championship at the very least.

As far as the Packers are concerned, there are a bunch of question marks for the NFC North residents as  they get set for the upcoming 2019 campaign. First, Green Bay is heading into Year 1 of a new era under first-time head coach Matt LaFleur. Not only will Aaron Rodgers be playing or a head coach other than Mike McCarthy for the first time ever, but the Packers need to address issues on both sides of the ball that led to them ranking a modest 15th in scoring (23.5 ppg) and 22nd in points allowed (25.0 ppg). In his second season as an NFL offensive coordinator, he led Tennessee’s offense to a dismal, 27th place finish in scoring (19.4 ppg) just last season.

While the Packers are playing at home in this Week 4 contest, for me, the Philadelphia Eagles are the pick as a value-packed 2-point road dog. The Birds finished a solid 12th in points allowed (21.8 ppg) last season and they made some nice upgrades on that side of the ball, plus they’ve got a boatload of talent on the offensive side of the ball and the knowledge of just what it takes to win it all. After going 2-1 ATS in their final three road games, last season the Birds pick up right where they left off.

Pick: Philadelphia +2

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

  • When: Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
  • TV: CBS
  • NFL Odds: New England -6.5

The Patriots will be looking to go back-to-back in 2019 after winning it all last season while the Bills look to build on its 6-10 mark after handing the keys to the franchise over to strong-armed rookie Josh Allen a year ago. The Patriots made some really nice offseason moves like acquiring veteran defensive lineman Michael Bennett. Buffalo also made a bunch of moves in the offseason, mostly to address their inept offensive line play from last season, although they did add veteran wide receivers Cole Beasley and John Brown.

The first thing you need to know about this meeting of longtime AFC East division rivals is that the Patriots have won seven straight road games against Buffalo while going 6-1 ATS over the span and 5-0 ATS over the last five in upstate new York. New England has also won two straight and four of their last five road games against the Bills as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less. Not only that, but Tom Brady and company have put 37 points or more on the board in three of the last five meetings while New England’s defense has limited Buffalo to single-digit scoring in each of the last two meetings. While the Bills have some high hopes for 2019 and beyond, this Week 4 divisional matchup looks like a virtual lock for the Patriots to me!

Pick: New England -6.5

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

  • When: Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 4:25 PM ET
  • Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
  • TV: CBS
  • NFL Week 4 Odds: Chicago -3.5

The Minnesota Vikings failed to live up to their Super Bowl expectations last season while going 8-7-1 after acquiring veteran signal-caller Kirk Cousins, but I’m expecting a better effort out of the Vikes in 2019 and slightly better results as well. The problem for the NFC North playoff hopefuls is that they’ve now been surpassed by the blossoming Chicago Bears who are coming off a stunning 12-4 campaign that saw them win the NFC North for the first time since 2010.

While Minnesota finished 19th in scoring (22.5 ppg) and ninth in points allowed (21.3 ppg), Chicago finished ninth in scoring (26.3 ppg) and first in fewest points allowed (17.7 ppg). The statistics back it up, as it stands right now, Chicago is simply the better team in all three phases of the game and the only one with a future Hall of Fame game-changer like Khalil Mack. After sweeping their NFC North division rivals a year ago, the Bears make it three straight.

Pick: Chicago -3.5