It’s safe to assume that a good number of teams in the AFC already know their fate, at least in part, with only one regular-season game left. Five teams are still in the playoff limbo, while five other teams have officially established a spot heading into the postseason. We’ve previously examined the AFC’s divisions, and now we’ll project which team has the best chance of taking home the conference championship. Sorry if your team isn’t mentioned below, you’re too low down the list of AFC Conference Championship Odds, and we don’t see you beating the oddsmakers either!
NFL 2022-23 Betting Projections for the AFC Championships Odds Favorites
Kansas City Chiefs 13-3 (+170)
Kansas City leapfrogged the Buffalo Bills for the number one seed in the AFC after a 27-24 win over the Denver Broncos, while Buffalo’s game was suspended after a gruesome injury. Rightfully so, the Chiefs are the favorite to take home the conference championship thanks to an offense that paces the league in points (29.1ppg) and yards (417.7ypg).
The Chiefs’ defensive unit on the other hand, has struggled, giving up 22.3 points per game and a generous 223.5 yards through the air. Additionally, the Chiefs have been a sure bet to lose against the spread going 1-7-1 ATS over their last nine contests. Patrick Mahomes looks like the NFL MVP, leading the league in passing touchdowns (40) and yards (5,048). Kansas City is a good bet to get to the Conference Championship.
Buffalo Bills 12-3 (+190)
After Damar Hamlin’s horrible injury forced the suspension of their game against the Bengals, the Buffalo Bills were shaken. As a probable second seed in the AFC, Mybookie’s oddsmakers have since increased the AFC championship odds to +190. Whatever the case, the Bills have one of the strongest offensive and defensive lineups in the NFL.
The Bills average 28.0 points per game on offense and only 17.5 points per game on defense. Josh Allen, who has scored 32 passing touchdowns and seven on the ground, is one of the league’s most exciting quarterbacks. The Bills, who play in chilly temperatures where they are an amazing 6-1 on the year, have arguably the biggest home-field advantage. We like the Buffalo Bills to potentially win it all.
Cincinnati Bengals 11-4 (+400)
In 2021, the Cincinnati Bengals appeared to be serious Super Bowl contenders, and they are once again competing at the top of the AFC. They are basically in the same position as they were last year, fighting for the AFC North title and heating up at the right time. In addition, to having a plethora of weapons on offense, the defense has shown up to holding opponents to a fourth-best 106.4 yards on the ground.
Additionally, the Bengals have arguably been the hottest team in the NFL. They have covered nine of their last ten games against the spread and own a seven-game winning streak. They are also one of the few teams to take down the Chiefs. At +400 they are a team to watch to make another run for the AFC title.
Los Angeles Chargers 10-6 (+1200)
The Chargers locked up the No. 6 seed in the AFC and secured their spot in the postseason, and they are starting to get hot. In addition to four straight contests, the Chargers have all the offensive weapons necessary to contend for the AFC title.
They’ll need to improve their defensive play if they want to compete with teams like the top AFC contenders. Given that they give up more than 140 yards a game, the Chargers’ run defense is among the worst in the league.
Baltimore Ravens 10-6 (+1600)
The Baltimore Ravens have secured another postseason berth, but advancing is solely up to Lamar Jackson’s injury status. Baltimore owns a stout defense that holds opponents to 18 points per game, but their offense has been stagnant without Lamar Jackson under center.
Jackson’s readiness for the regular-season finale in Cincinnati, which may be for the AFC North championship, is still unknown to the Ravens. After sustaining a knee injury against the Broncos on December 4, Jackson has missed five straight games. We recommend staying away from the Ravens.