The feeling in the AFC was that it was going to be one of three teams – Bills, Chiefs, Bengals – that would represent the conference in the Super Bowl. After a wild playoffs to this point, that is still very much on point, with the Chiefs and Bengals going head to head in the AFC Conference Championship Game this coming Sunday. It is, as you would expect, one that the bookies have as close, with the Bengals in as a modest 1 ½ point road favorite. Both of these teams have been here before, so we can expect a great game, but how will it all play out? Let’s take a closer look at both teams as we make some AFC Championship Betting predictions for the AFC Conference Championship Game.
AFC Conference Round Game: Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Betting Preview
Bengals versus Chiefs Match Info
- When: Sunday, January 29 at 6:30 PM EST
- Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
- TV: CBS
Why bet on the Cincinnati Bengals
Last year, when the Bengals went to the Super Bowl, they were seen as a bit of a surprise package. We all knew that they were a team on the rise, but it still felt as though getting to the big game was just a bit ahead of schedule. This time around, they are not surprising anyone, especially given the way they ended the regular season, winning 8 in a row to win the AFC North. With Joe Burrow at QB, this is a team that could be good for a very long time, but can they get over the hump and actually win it all this year? Their record against the Chiefs suggests that they can, as they have had the number of KC, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings. They have also been a fantastic bet against the spread, covering in 13 of their last 16 games, which is an astonishing feat. The UNDER has hit in 7 of their last 8 visits to Arrowhead Stadium.
Why bet on the Kansas City Chiefs
The run that the Chiefs have been on over the past 5 years is nothing short of staggering. They have been to the AFC Championship Game all 5 seasons, getting to the Super Bowl twice and winning it once. This is a team that has grown accustomed to this level of success, but there is some real concern heading into this weekend. Their recent record versus the Bengals is problematic enough, but they are going to have to try and reverse that trend with Patrick Mahomes dealing with a high ankle sprain. Mahomes has already said that he will play, but if that ankle has an impact on his mobility, this could prove to be a long day for the Chiefs. The Chiefs have won 5 in a row at home and are also 5-0 SU in their last 5 games versus conference foes. That said, they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 overall, with 11 of their last 14 versus the Bengals going UNDER the point total.
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
Even if Mahomes was at top speed, I would still be looking at the Bengals to get the win here, so I am taking them to win and cover. I am also taking the UNDER 47 points.
NFL Playoffs Betting Pick: Cincinnati Bengals 24 Kansas City Chiefs 20