NFL AFC Conference Championship & Super Bowl Odds: Bills Betting Analysis

NFL AFC Conference Championship & Super Bowl Odds: Bills Betting Analysis

We had some drama at the end of the NFL regular season, with the whole playoff picture put in doubt after the cancellation of the game between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals. The league decided that making the AFC Conference Championship Game a neutral venue affair should be the way to go, but that decision meant that the Bills dropped out of the #1 seed in the process. They now have a more difficult path to the Super Bowl, but it’s a run that they are certainly equipped to make. This is also now a team that has some extra inspiration in the form of Damar Hamlin. Will that drive them to a championship, or will they come up short again? Let’s break it all down and don’t miss our NFL Playoffs betting odds for Bills in the Wild Card Round.

Buffalo Bills Postseason Betting Analysis (Odds to win the Conference/Super Bowl, Why Bet on and Against)

Wild Card Round

The Bills did still manage to land the #2 seed, so they would have home field advantage all the way to the Conference Championship Game. Their playoff run begins on Sunday when they host the Miami Dolphins in the Wild Card Round. The Bills go into that one at -395 for the straight up win and are favored by 9. With Tua Tagovailoa expected to be out again, the Dolphins look seriously overmatched in this one. There isn’t a whole ton of value to be found here, but this is a game where the Bills should move on without too much trouble.

Conference Championship

With the Bills losing the #1 seed, they also dropped down to second favorite to win the AFC. They are currently sitting at +187 and I would suggest that you get in on this bet now if you like them to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, as this is likely to be as good as those odds get. So, I think the Bills will blow past the Dolphins in the Wild Card, which would then likely have them facing the winner of the game between the Ravens and Bengals. My money would be on Cincinnati to take that one, which would set up a rematch of the suspended game. The Bengals are hot right now, and it is worth remembering that they had the lead when the Week 17 game was suspended. This is the matchup that makes me nervous when looking at the Bills chances of getting to the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl

The Bills had basically been the favorite to win the Super Bowl from the start of the season, and even more so after beating the Kansas City Chiefs. That all changed with the suspension of the Bengals game, as it is now the Chiefs who are seen as the favorite by the bookies. It’s close, though, and you have to say that the Bills look to be very good value at odds of +400 to win it all. Again, my concern is that the Bengals might prove to be the fly in the ointment, as they are coming into the postseason playing great football, plus they now have a chip on their shoulder, as they feel the most negatively affected by the decision to cancel the Bills game and go neutral venue. At the start of the season, I had the Bills going all the way to the Super Bowl, so it’s tough to bet against them now.


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