Monday night will see the Las Vegas Raiders play their opening game in their new home, and while that is certainly a big deal, most of us are already looking ahead to Week 3 of the NFL season. The early lines released today, which means that it’s time to get back down to the business of deciding which games we should play in Week 3. As we have mentioned before, one of the keys to profitable betting is to narrow down the games you are going to wager on as opposed to just playing them all. With Week 3 just around the corner, what are some other tips you should be following to make profitable wagers? Let’s find out so you can wager on their NFL odds.
Keys to profitable betting on the NFL Week 3
The first thing that you should be doing is keeping an eye on the injury reports from each team. There was a concern that the lack of a preseason might have an impact on the health of the players, and that has certainly been the case. We have already seen some big names go on the injury list, with the likes of Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas, and Saquon Barkley all falling prey to the injury bug. Any of those guys missing games is going to have an impact on the odds and whether or not you should wager on those teams.
Start paying attention to the trends. Two weeks is not a lot of data to go on, but we are already seeing trends begin to develop. For example, the Green Bay Packers have found themselves in back to back shootouts that have seen them blow the point total out of the water in the opening 2 weeks. Is that something that is going to continue? There are a lot of teams who are developing those sorts of trends in the early going. They might well be your money makers.
Do not jump on or off the bandwagon this early. We have also spoken in the past about not making wagers based on the performance in a single week. Teams that looked great in Week 1 struggled in Week 2, while teams that we had written off based on their opening week performance suddenly looked better in Week 2. This is a strange kind of season, so it is going to take some time for players to adjust to no preseason and no fans in the stands. Don’t be sucked in by one good or bad performance.
Think about playing more road teams this season. Home field advantage is something that we always tend to think about when we wager, but is it as important this season? With zero or limited fans in stadiums across the country, a big portion of that advantage has been taken away. Teams that you would normally avoid on the road might suddenly not be a bad bet. Pay attention to home and away records, as they may not be as important as you might expect, which might mean leaving money on the table if you choose to skip a traditionally poor road team.
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