2019 NFL Week 11 SU Betting Picks.

Browns vs Ravens 2019 NFL Week 4 Lines, Analysis and Prediction

Written by on September 24, 2019

The top two teams in the AFC North battle it out in Week 4 when the Browns and Ravens throw down in Maryland. Baltimore enters the game off a loss to Kansas City while Cleveland takes to the road after losing at home to the L.A. Rams. Which team gets back on the winning track and which team covers the spread? Check out the NFL odds, a preview, and a free pick for Browns vs Ravens!

Browns vs Ravens NFL Week 4 Odds, Preview, and Pick

  • When: Sunday, Sep. 29 at 1:00pm ET
  • Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
  • TV: CBS
  • ATS Odds: Ravens -7
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 46 ½

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 31°C/88°F
  • Humidity: 63%
  • Precipitation: 20%
  • Wind: 6 mph NE
  • Cloud Cover: 40%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why the Cleveland Browns are a good bet +7?

There were moments in the Browns loss to the Rams where one could see things to start to gel. Baker Mayfield had a bad outing when only throwing for 195 yards, a single TD, and a pick. However, he completed 6-of-9 to Odell Beckham Jr. and 4-of-7 to Nick Chubb.

Not only that, but the Browns only lost by 7, 13-20, to one of the top teams in the NFL. If Cleveland can play the same away against the Ravens on Sunday, they might have a chance to keep this game within the spread.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 330.3
  • Passing Yards: 241.3
  • Rushing Yards: 89
  • Points Scored: 16.3
  • Total Yards: 315.3
  • Passing Yards: 213.3
  • Rushing Yards: 102
  • Points Allowed: 22

Why the Baltimore Ravens are a good bet -7?

Baltimore barely lost to the Kansas City Chiefs, 28-33, after failing on 2-of-3 fourth down conversion attempts and a couple of 2-point conversion attempts. Who knows what might have happened if Baltimore had been successful on all 4 of those conversions?

Even after the loss, the Ravens remain one of the best teams in the NFL. They battled, arguably, the top team in the league on the road and had a shot towards the end to pull off the moneyline upset. Baltimore should have no trouble handling the Browns at home on Sunday.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 511.7
  • Passing Yards: 295
  • Rushing Yards: 216.7
  • Points Scored: 36.7
  • Total Yards: 350.7
  • Passing Yards: 290.3
  • Rushing Yards: 60.3
  • Points Allowed: 20

NFL Week 4 Betting Trends for Browns vs Ravens

  • Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
  • Browns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Browns last 8 games overall
  • Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games
  • Ravens are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a losing road record
  • Over is 6-2 in Ravens last 8 versus AFC

Browns vs Ravens Final NFL Betting Analysis

Cleveland is a mess. After three games, the most hyped team during the offseason is averaging 16.3 points per. The reason? Baker Mayfield has a 70.3 quarterback rating. He’s completing 56.9% of his passes.

Some of that has to do with Cleveland’s offensive line woes. Much of it has to do with Mayfield. He takes too long to make his reads, which means the ball doesn’t fly out of his hands fast enough.

The real issue for the Browns is that the defense won’t stop Lamar Jackson and Baltimore from scoring touchdowns. Once the Ravens get their offense going, Cleveland will have to play catch up. That won’t be easy. Expect Baltimore to blow out the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.

NFL Free Pick: Baltimore Ravens -7