Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: Monday Night Football Odds and Computer Picks December 28, 2020

Written by on December 22, 2020

Oddsmakers give the Buffalo Bills (11-3) a good chance to keep their four-game winning streak alive, as they are favored by a touchdown in a matchup with the New England Patriots (6-8) on Monday, December 28, 2020 at Gillette Stadium. The over/under is set at 45.0.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Monday, December 28, 2020
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Foxborough, MA
  • Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Place a bet on the Bills or the Patriots in their Week 16 matchup.

Betting Information

Bills vs Patriots Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Bills -7.0 -105 -115 45.0 -110 -110 N/A N/A

Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo’s games have hit the over in 10 out of 14 outings this season (71.4%).
  • Buffalo has compiled a 9-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills are just 0-1 ATS when favored by at least 7.0 points.
  • The Bills, on average, score 7.6 more points per game this season (29.1) than the Patriots allow (21.5).
  • When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Buffalo is 6-1 and 6-1 against the spread.
  • When the New England defense allows 21.5 points or fewer this year, the Patriots have accumulated a 5-1 overall record and a 5-1 record against the spread.
Bet on the Bills to win the Super Bowl.

Patriots Betting Insights

  • New England has put together a losing 6-8 record against the spread this season.
  • The Patriots have a split ATS record of 2-2 when an underdog by at least 7.0 points.
  • Most of New England’s games this year — 10 out of 14 — have not gone over the point total (71.4%).
  • The Patriots have averaged 3.7 fewer points per game this season (20.6) than the Bills have allowed (24.3).
  • New England is 5-2 overall and 5-2 against the spread when they score at least 20.6 points this season.
  • When Buffalo allows opposing offenses to put 24.3 points or fewer on the scoreboard this year, they are 8-0 overall and 6-2 against the spread.
Bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl.

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Bills vs Patriots
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Patriots (+7) Over (45) Bills 26 Patriots 22

Total Facts

  • The average over/under the Bills have had set in matchups this season is 8.4 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average point total for the Patriots this year is 2.9 points less than this game’s over/under.
  • The Bills and their opponents have combined to score more than 45.0 points in 64.3% of their games this year (nine of 14 opportunities).
  • The Patriots and their opponents have combined to score at least 45.0 points in 42.9% of their games this year (six of 14 chances).
  • The Bills and the Patriots combine to average 4.7 more points per game than the over/under of 45.0 set for this game.
  • The Bills and the Patriots have seen their opponents average a combined 0.8 more points per game than the point total of 45.0 set in this matchup.
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Bills vs Patriots: Last 5 Meetings

New England has an edge against Buffalo over the last five meetings between these two squads, recording a 4-1 record in those games. The Bills are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Patriots. New England has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, totaling 110 points while Buffalo scored 69.

Bills vs Patriots: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/1/2020 Bills Bills -4.00 41.00 -200 +175 349-339 NE 24-21 BUF
12/21/2019 Patriots Patriots -7 39 -335 +290 414-268 NE 24-17 NE
9/29/2019 Patriots Bills -7 41.5 -315 +275 375-224 BUF 16-10 NE
12/23/2018 N/A Patriots N/A N/A N/A N/A 390-289 NE 24-12 NE
10/29/2018 N/A Bills N/A N/A N/A N/A 387-333 NE 25-6 NE

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • Buffalo is 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 straight up over their last three games.
  • Buffalo has hit the over two times in their last three games.
  • The Bills and their opponents have combined to score an average of 55.3 points over their last three games, 10.3 more than the 45.0 over/under in this matchup.
  • New England has struggled to cover lately, going 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 straight up over their last three contests.
  • The under has been familiar to New England. They have failed to reach the total three times in their last three games.
  • The Patriots total over the last three games is 9.7 points fewer than the 45.0 over/under given for this matchup.

Injury Report

Bills: WR John Brown: Out (Ankle), OT Daryl Williams: Questionable (Groin), WR Stefon Diggs: Questionable (Foot), CB Tre’Davious White: Questionable (Shoulder), OT Cody Ford: Out (Knee), SS Jaquan Johnson: Questionable (Ankle), TE Tommy Sweeney: Out (Foot), CB Cam Lewis: Out (Wrist), OLB Del’Shawn Phillips: Out (Quadriceps), WR Isaiah Hodgins: Out (Shoulder), DE A.J. Epenesa: Questionable (Head), CB Dane Jackson: Questionable (Knee)

Patriots: WR Julian Edelman: Questionable (Knee), CB Stephon Gilmore: Out (Quadriceps), DE John Simon: Questionable (Hamstring), RB Rex Burkhead: Out (Acl), OLB Brandon Copeland: Out (Torn Pectoral), DT Beau Allen: Out (Leg), WR Donte Moncrief: Questionable (Thigh), DT Carl Davis Jr.: Questionable (Concussion), LB Brandon King: Out (Quadriceps), C David Andrews: Questionable (Calf), WR Quincy Adeboyejo: Out (Undisclosed), OT Isaiah Wynn: Out (Knee), LB Ja’Whaun Bentley: Questionable (Arm), TE Ryan Izzo: Out (Hamstring/hand/neck), RB Damien Harris: Questionable (Ankle), OT Yodny Cajuste: Out (Knee), TE Jake Burt: Out (Undisclosed), DL Michael Barnett: Out (Knee)


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