Miami takes on the rival Buffalo Bills with their playoff dreams at stake. After running off five straight wins, the Dolphins have since lost two straight. What’s really worrisome if you’re a Fins fan is that Miami hasn’t scored more than 17 in each of their last two contests. Buffalo is back on a winning streak. On Saturday, the Bills look for their fifth straight. Will Buffalo win by enough to get an SU and ATS victory? Or will the Dolphins keep the margin closer than the spread? Keep reading for NFL Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Miami at Buffalo.
NFL Week 15 Betting Preview and Prediction for Miami Dolphins at Buffalo
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Odds and Match Info
- When: Saturday, Dec. 17 at 8:15 pm ET
- Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
- TV / Streaming: NFL Net
- ATS Odds: Buffalo -7.5
- Money line Odds: Miami +285 / Buffalo -380
- Over/Under Odds: 42
Why bet on Miami versus Buffalo?
The Dolphins have not played well in their last two games, but there’s a reason. Miami faced San Francisco’s fantastic defense two contests go.
No team is having success versus the 49ers right now. San Francisco has turned into a legit Super Bowl contender even though rookie Brock Purdy is their starting quarterback.
The other team Miami lost to was the Los Angeles Chargers. The Dolphins faced quarterback Justin Herbert and both of Herbert’s star receivers, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, were healthy. Not only that, but the Dolphins beat the Bills earlier in the season. So this is a good bounce back spot.
Miami Dolphins Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 367.8
- Passing Yards: 277.9
- Rushing Yards: 89.8
- Points Scored: 24.3
- Turnovers: 15
Miami Dolphins Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 350.8
- Passing Yards: 242.5
- Rushing Yards: 108.3
- Points Scored: 24.0
- Takeaways: 12
Why bet on Buffalo versus Miami?
Buffalo isn’t covering spreads but the reason is because the spreads have been too high. It’s tough to cover a 10-point spread against a rival like the New York Jets, with a fantastic defense, who Buffalo beat by 8 points in NFL Week 14.
The Bills couldn’t cover against the Detroit Lions. But just beating Detroit on Thanksgiving, which is what Buffalo did, is an accomplishment.
The spread in this contest is 7.5 and should fall to 7 or even below 7 by kickoff. The game happens at Buffalo and the Dolphins are a bad road covering team. So the Bills are a decent play to get it done.
Buffalo Bills Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 397.1
- Passing Yards: 263.4
- Rushing Yards: 133.7
- Points Scored: 27.2
- Turnovers: 20
Buffalo Bills Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 319.3
- Passing Yards: 219.5
- Rushing Yards: 99.8
- Points Scored: 17.0
- Takeaways: 19
Dolphins at Bills Relevant Trends
- Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 on the road
- Miami is 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head in Buffalo
- Over is 5-1 in the Dolphins’ last 6 on the road
- Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
- Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win
- Under is 9-2 in the Bills’ last 11 games
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Final Betting Prediction
For the first time in a while, the Bills offer a fair spread line. At -10, it’s tough to back any NFL team. But the better team in a matchup at home at -7 or even up to -8 is worth a look.
In this case, although the money is going to the Dolphins, Buffalo is the pick. This happens at Highmark Stadium. Miami is 2-5 ATS in road games this season.
Not only that, but Tyreek Hill is banged up. Even if Hill plays, he won’t be one-hundred percent. In addition, it’s going to be 31 degrees and the weather folks call for a 71% chance of snow. That’s not good when you average less than 90 yards rushing per game. Buffalo scores the win and cover.
NFL Week 15 Pick: Buffalo Bills -7.5