JAN 25 - How To Bet 2017 NFL Super Bowl Over Under Total

How To Bet 2017 NFL Super Bowl Over/Under Total

Written by on January 25, 2017

One of the most intriguing wagers available for Super Bowl 51 is the OVER/UNDER, with the point total currently set at 58.5. The reason this one is such a tough call is because you have a pair of teams whose strengths are very different. The Atlanta Falcons are an offensive juggernaut that led the league in scoring, while the Patriots are bringing the number one defense to the big game in Houston in a couple of weeks. The biggest question that needs to be answered before making this wager is which of these two units is going to shine brightest in the Super Bowl. If the Falcons offense rises up, we may get into a shootout that takes the point total beyond the bookies amount, while a big performance from the Patriots D may help keep things on the lower scoring side of things. Let’s dig a little deeper into what each team did in the OVER/UNDER throughout the course of the season. Before you bet on the NFL playoffs, click here to cash in on the latest Super Bowl 51 promos.

How To Bet 2017 NFL Super Bowl Over/Under Total


The Atlanta Falcons and the OVER/UNDER

A quick look at what the Atlanta Falcons have done with the point total this season would immediately have you rushing online to play the OVER, as everything would appear to point in that direction. Overall, they went 15-2 O/U, which tells you just how good they were offensively this season, whilst also making it clear that they do tend to give up points, too. In games where the O/U was set at 49.5 or higher, the Falcons were a rather staggering 9-0 O/U. Now, before you start thinking that these results may have come against lesser opponents where Atlanta was able to run up the score, keep in mind that they are also 5-1 O/U when playing teams with a winning record. The Falcons are coming into the big game as a slight underdog, and their record when that happens is 4-2 O/U. All these stats would certainly suggest an OVER play, but before we get carried away, let’s look at the Patriots.

The New England Patriots and the OVER/UNDER

At first glance, things are not so cut and dried when looking at the OVER/UNDER record in Patriots games this season. Their overall record comes in at 8-10 O/U, which immediately makes you start to second guess your decision to play the OVER. There are some numbers that will make you think again, though, and it comes when looking at the New England Patriots going against better opposition this season. In the second half of the season, when playing a team with a winning record, the Patriots games went 5-1 O/U. Throughout the season as a whole, that record was 6-2 O/U versus teams with a winning record. That seriously changes how I am looking at this game, so let’s go ahead and make a prediction.

How to Bet the OVER/UNDER in Super Bowl 51

As good as the Patriots defense is, I don’t see any way in which they can shut down the Falcons completely. I have a feeling that this game is going to turn into a gunslinger battle between Brady and Ryan, which I believe will take the total OVER.