Preseason favorite Kansas City is one game away from a third straight trip to the Super Bowl. But for Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the rest of the Chiefs to stamp their ticket, they must get by Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals. Will Mahomes and KC get it done? Or is Sunday’s AFC Championship Joe Burrow’s turn to shine? Keep reading for odds, analysis, and a free pick for Bengals at Chiefs so you can place your bets against their NFL Playoffs odds.
NFL AFC Championship Betting Preview for Bengals at Kansas City
Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Game Odds & Info | NFL Playoffs Betting
- When: Sunday, Jan. 30 at 3:00 pm ET
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount+
- ATS Odds: Kansas City -7
- Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati +270 / Kansas City -340
- Over/Under Odds: 54 ½
Why bet on Cincinnati versus Kansas City?
In NFL Week 17, the Bengals blasted Kansas City 34-31. The game happened in KC. So the Bengals won’t be intimidated having to play the AFC Championship on the road. Not only that, but Joe Burrow lit up the Chiefs with Tyrann Mathieu on the field. Mathieu may sit the AFC title game out due to a concussion. If he does, Burrow should have a great day.
Cincinnati Bengals Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 361.5
- Passing Yards: 259.0
- Rushing Yards: 102.5
- Points Scored: 27.1
- Turnovers: 21
Cincinnati Bengals Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 350.8
- Passing Yards: 248.4
- Rushing Yards: 102.5
- Points Scored: 22.1
- Takeaways: 22
Why bet on Kansas City versus Cincinnati?
In two playoff games, the Chiefs have scored a combined 84 points. Kansas City dumped 42 onto the Pittsburgh Steelers in a 21-point victory. Then versus the Buffalo Bills, Mahomes and the offense scored 2 late touchdowns and a TD in overtime to beat Buffalo 42-36. KC is unstoppable right now, which is why they’re a +105 favorite to win Super Bowl 56.
Kansas City Chiefs Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 396.8
- Passing Yards: 281.8
- Rushing Yards: 115.0
- Points Scored: 28.2
- Turnovers: 25
Kansas City Chiefs Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 368.9
- Passing Yards: 251.4
- Rushing Yards: 117.6
- Points Scored: 21.4
- Takeaways: 27
Bengals at Chiefs Relevant Trends
- Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass
- Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS in their last 6
- Under is 6-0 in the Bengals’ last 6 playoff games
- Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games
- Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff home games
- Over is 7-0 in the Chiefs’ last 7 games
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Final Betting Prediction
Don’t be fooled into thinking the Chiefs are a lock to win this game. These two teams are close to the same level. Both have good defenses and excellent quarterbacks. Both teams also have quality receivers.
The difference between the two is in wide receiver depth. Cincinnati star wideout Ja’Marr Chase doesn’t have the speed that Tyreek Hill possesses. But Chase can catch 5-yard outs as well as he catches 20-yard bombs.
The reason that’s important is because Cincinnati figures to use clock in the passing game. Then if KC adjusts, the Bengals will turn to Joe Mixon and the rushing attack.
Kansas City has the edge because this happens on GEHA Field, but the Bengals are the fresher team. The Chiefs had to fight hard to beat the Bills in their last. If the game is close in the fourth quarter, KC could be too tired to keep up with Burrow and the Bengals’ offense.
Not only that, but Cincinnati’s style of defense, bend but don’t break, will prevent Mahomes from throwing it down field. Those are great reasons to back the Bengals on the moneyline.
But the biggest reason to go with the Stripes is because Cincinnati has proven it can win a close game on the road in the playoffs. The way Cincy handled Tennessee last weekend was masterful. It’s also important not to forget that Cincinnati has already beaten the Chiefs in Kansas City. Bengals moneyline is the play.
NFL AFC Championship Pick: Cincinnati Bengals SU