NFL Playoffs Betting Tips for the 2023 AFC Divisional Round Matches

NFL Playoffs Betting Tips for the 2023 AFC Divisional Round Matches

In looking at this weekend’s slate of games in the divisional round of the AFC Playoffs, we’re going to see all four of the top seeds. With the top four seeds comes arguably the best three quarterbacks in the league, along with one that could be among that group in the next couple of years. With that being said, all four division winners survived the Wild Card round and will square off this weekend.

Let’s take a look at the two matchups, and then we’ll give you some NFL Playoffs Betting advice for each of the games.

Betting Advice for the AFC Divisional Round | NFL Playoffs Odds

(4) Jacksonville Jaguars @ (1) Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

Last Saturday, it didn’t look like Jacksonville would be around to see the divisional round. After Trevor Lawrence threw four first-half interceptions, and the Chargers had a 27-point first-half deficit, the Jaguars outscored Los Angeles 24-3 in the second half to earn a 31-30 victory. Thus setting up a matchup at top-seeded Kansas City.

The Chiefs earned a first-round bye in the new playoff format. Kansas City will have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for over 5,200 yards this season with 41 touchdown passes. Losing Tyreek Hill hasn’t hurt the Chiefs offense at all this season.

In looking at the betting numbers, the numbers support taking the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville is 6-1-1 against the spread in their last eight games against opponents from the AFC. They are also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games. As for the Chiefs, they’re 1-7-1 against the spread in their last nine home games.

Even though the numbers point towards taking the Jaguars, we like the Chiefs in this one. They may get off to a slow start, but the Chiefs are the better team. Even though Jacksonville’s defense has played well as of late, we don’t think they are good enough to slow the Kansas City offense down. The Chiefs win by 10.

(3) Cincinnati Bengals @ (2) Buffalo Bills (-5)

No one will ever forget what happened in their Week 17 matchup. Thankfully, Damar Hamlin is on his way to a full recovery, and we’ll finally get to see the matchup that everyone has been waiting for. The two hottest teams in the NFL will clash in Buffalo, as the Bills will host the Bengals. The Bills have won eight straight games, while the Bengals have been victorious in their last nine games.

Joe Burrow and Josh Allen are two of the top quarterbacks in the game, and they both have the ability to take a game over. Allen has had turnover issues, while Burrow has been playing behind a suspect offensive line which is prone to giving up sacks. We know that both of these teams will score points, and this probably won’t be a defensive battle. 

The Bengals are 12-3-1 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Buffalo is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven. While we like the Bills to win this one, we don’t think they’ll cover. This one is going to come down to the wire, with the Bills winning by a field goal. 


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