Ravens vs Browns NFL Week 5 Lines & Betting Analysis

Ravens vs Browns NFL Week 5 Lines & Betting Analysis

Written by on October 2, 2018

Baltimore travels to Cleveland to face the rival Browns in an important battle for both teams. Can Cleveland get back on the winning track after a tough overtime loss to the Oakland Raiders? Or, will the Ravens show again that they’re the best team in the AFC North? Check out the latest NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Ravens at Browns!

Ravens vs Browns NFL Week 5 Lines & Betting Analysis

When: Sunday, Oct. 7 at 1:00 pm ET

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH


Baltimore / Cleveland

Live Stream:
NFL Live

ATS Odds:
Baltimore -3 (-110)

ver/Under Total Odds:
47 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 22°C/72°F
  • Humidity: 77%
  • Precipitation: 22%
  • Wind: 9 mph SE
  • Cloud Cover: 81%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why are the Ravens a good bet at -3?

Baltimore’s hot after beating both the Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders. The Ravens’ defense held both Denver and Oakland to 14 points in a 27-14 win over the Broncos and a 26-14 win over Pittsburgh.

Baltimore’s offense has also played well.  Although quarterbacks like Drew Brees and Patrick Mahomes have gotten the headlines, Ravens’ QB Joe Flacco has thrown only 2 interceptions and has led the Ravens to a 3-1 record.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 30.8
  • Total Yards: 396.8
  • Pass Yards: 307.8
  • Rush Yards: 89
  • Average Score Against: 16.2
  • Total Yards: 375.8
  • Pass Yards: 193.2
  • Rush Yards: 82.5

Why are the Browns a good bet at +3?

Are the Browns a safe bet for NFL Week 5?
In his first start in the NFL, quarterback Baker Mayfield played well. Mayfield did throw 2 interceptions. He also threw for 2 touchdowns and 295 yards. Mayfield and the Browns had the win until his fumble in OT led to an Oakland field goal.

Mayfield should play better on Sunday than he did on the road against Oakland. Any improvement could lead to a Cleveland win.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 25.5
  • Total Yards: 366
  • Pass Yards: 213.2
  • Rush Yards: 152.8
  • Average Score Against: 26
  • Total Yards: 395
  • Pass Yards: 278.2
  • Rush Yards: 116.8

Ravens vs Browns NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 6-3 ATS in the last 9 games
  • Baltimore is 8-3 SU in the last 11 games
  • The total went OVER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 9 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 6-13 ATS in the last 19 games
  • Cleveland is 1-19-1 SU in the last 21 games
  • The total went UNDER in 12 of Cleveland’s last 15 games at home

Final NFL Betting Analysis for Ravens vs Browns

Most NFL handicappers believe Baltimore easily beats the Cleveland Browns. But, that’s discounting Cleveland’s rushing attack. The Browns average 152.8 rushing yards per game, top in the NFL. Baltimore’s good against the rush, only allowing 82.5 yards per, but the Ravens haven’t yet faced a team that can run like the Browns except Denver who rushed for 120 yards against Baltimore’s D.

Not only that, but this feels like a trap game for the Ravens. In Baltimore’s last 3 games they’ve been at Cincinnati, home against Denver, and at Pittsburgh. The Ravens might take the day off thinking this is the same Cleveland team they’ve dominated the past few seasons.

That would be a mistake. I like Cleveland to win straight up.

NFL Football Week 5 Pick: Browns money line