NFL Super Bowl 56 Betting Analysis: Trends and Stats Worth Looking At for Both Teams

Super Bowl 56 happens in a few days. It’s time for us to get down to business. Check out the top trends for both teams, most important over/under trends, and stats for both the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals. We add analysis to help you handicap Super Bowl 56.  Let’s jump right into action so you can make your bets against the Super Bowl odds.

Trends & Stats To Study Before Betting On Super Bowl

Super Bowl LVI

• When: Sunday, Feb. 13
• Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
• TV/Streaming: NBC / Peacock
• ATS Odds: LAR -4 ½ 
• Moneyline Odds: LAR -190 / Cincinnati +155
• Over/Under Total: 48 ½ 

Los Angeles Rams Trends to Consider

• Rams are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous 
• LAR is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
• Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as the chalk

Analysis: Based on the trends, the Rams should have a tough time covering the spread. The three most important LAR trends say they don’t cover on Feb. 13.

But before dumping on the Rams, we should take a closer look. In their three playoff games, Los Angeles is a half a point away from going 3-0 ATS. So if you like the Rams, don’t allow these trends to change your mind.  

Cincinnati Bengals Trends to Consider

• Bengals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win

• Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record

• Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win

• Cincinnati is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 playoff games

Analysis: The Bengals are playing great football. But Cincinnati will enter the Super Bowl awarded fewer points than what they got against Kansas City.

Also, it’s important to note that KC blew an 18-point lead. Then there’s the fact that Cincinnati is 7-0 ATS in their last 7. 

Eventually, a trend goes the opposite direction. So if you like the Bengals, go for it. But don’t decide to back Cincinnati based solely on trends.   

Over/Under Trends to Consider

• Under is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous 
• Under is 6-2 in LARS’s last 8 games on field turf
• Under is 4-0in the Bengals’ last 4 games
• Over is 7-2 in Cincinnati’s last 9 games on field turf

Analysis: Based on the trends, this game goes under. But we can’t jump on the under just because of the trends.

During the season, 8 Cincinnati games went over. 9 Cincy games went under. 8 Rams games went over. 9 Rams games went under.

Don’t base your over/under bet on trends. Recent games call for an under contest. But the Rams and the Bengals can both light up the scoreboard. So also consider stats, injuries, the likely pace of the game, etc.  

Los Angeles Rams Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 372.1

• Passing Yards: 273.1

• Rushing Yards: 99.0

• Points Scored: 27.1

• Turnovers: 23

Los Angeles Rams Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 344.9

• Passing Yards: 241.7

• Rushing Yards: 103.2

• Points Scored: 21.9

• Takeaways: 24

Analysis: The most glaring stat is how the Rams average less than 100 rushing yards per game. That could be a big issue against the Bengals.

Los Angeles wants to keep the ball from Joe Burrow’s hands. But if they can’t move the football on the ground, Cincinnati could end up with more possessions, which wouldn’t be a good thing if you backed the Rams. 

Cincinnati Bengals Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 361.5

• Passing Yards: 259.0

• Rushing Yards: 102.5

• Points Scored: 27.1

• Turnovers: 21

Cincinnati Bengals Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 350.8

• Passing Yards: 248.4

• Rushing Yards: 102.5

• Points Scored: 22.1

• Takeaways: 22

Analysis: The Bengals don’t have a glaring stat. One interesting point to make is that the Bengals and Rams average the same amount of points each game.

It’s also interesting to note that Cincinnati and the Rams both had 1 more takeaway during the regular season than turnover. Based on stats, Super Bowl 56 should be an ultra-competitive game.

One more stat to consider – Rams home record

SoFi Stadium is home to the Los Angeles Rams. Often, teams play much better at home than they do on the road.

But with the Rams, playing at home isn’t much of an advantage. Of Los Angeles’ 5 losses during the regular season, 3 happened at SoFi. So take that into consideration if you believe the Rams have an advantage at home.

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