This season’s Super Bowl isn’t just a game between two of the best teams in the NFL, it’s also a matchup between two of the top quarterbacks in the league. The Eagles’ Jalen Hurts and Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes are both finalists for the league MVP. When it comes to the Super Bowl, both players offer ways to make money on QB props. But which player offers the better prop play? Check out analysis and free Super Bowl Betting picks for six of Super Bowl 57’s top quarterback props.
NFL Super Bowl 57 Quarterback vs Quarterback Props
Super Bowl LVII
- When: Sunday, Feb. 12, 2023
- Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
- TV: Fox
- Jalen Hurts 1+ -455 vs Patrick Mahomes 2+ -371
Hurts should throw a TD pass. Heck, he should throw more than 1 for sure. But laying -455 is tough because a) Jalen may not be one-hundred percent and b) the Eagles could decide to control time of possession by running the football in the red zone.
Also, the counter prop on Mahomes requires us to lay less dollars and Mahomes is almost a shoo-in for a pair of TD passes. Going with Magic Mahomes in this one.
Better Super Bowl 57 QB Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes +2 -371
- Jalen Hurts 2+ -108 vs Patrick Mahomes 3+ +150
Hurts may throw 1 to 2 TD passes. The odds are fair on Jalen throwing at least 2 touchdowns. So if you like the Eagles and Hurts, go for it.
The riskier prop, but much better paying, is on Mahomes at 3+ and +150. The Eagles have the best pass defense in the league. But Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott threw 3 TDs against Philly. So Mahomes should be good for at least 3.
Better Super Bowl 57 QB Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes 3+ +150
- Jalen Hurts 1+ +122 vs Patrick Mahomes 1+ -121
Mahomes threw 12 picks during the regular season. He’s a shoo-in for at least 1 interception during the game, right?
Maybe not. Hurts threw just 6 interceptions. So there’s a good chance Jalen doesn’t toss a pick. But if you want to play this prop, go for the money and back Hurts.
Better Super Bowl 57 QB Prop Pick: Jalen Hurts 1+ +122
- Jalen Hurts 2+ +700 vs Patrick Mahomes 2+ +450
Like with the prop above, if you want to play this one, go for the money. In this case, you can’t go wrong either way. Both props are paying great.
Mahomes doesn’t make mistakes. So 2+ +450 is a worse play then backing Jalen. Things could fall apart for Hurts because Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is great at exploiting a quarterback’s weaknesses. If that happens, 2+ interceptions is possible.
Better Super Bowl 57 QB Prop Pick: Jalen Hurts 2+ +700
- Jalen Hurts 233+ -197 vs Patrick Mahomes 278+ -213
In his last 3 games, Hurts has thrown for 229 yards, 154 yards, and 121 yards.
Magic Mahomes has thrown for 202, 195, and 326. The Eagles allow a lot of rushing yards. Once the Eagles creep up to stop the rush, Patrick will go off.
Better Super Bowl 57 QB Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes 278+ -213
- Jalen Hurts 243+ -118 vs Patrick Mahomes 288+ -114
Mahomes is the play here as well. The Eagles use run and pass to move the ball down the field.
So do the Chiefs, but Andy Reid uses the pass to set up the rush. So Reid will call pass plays, get Isaiah Pacheco going, and then once the Eagles cheat up, allow Patrick to open up the offense.
Better Super Bowl 57 QB Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes 288+ -114
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