Tom Brady’s Bucs

Updated Super Bowl Odds: Here Come Tom Brady’s Bucs

Written by on October 28, 2020

No team has played a Super Bowl in its home stadium, but it could easily happen this season with Super Bowl 55 scheduled for Feb. 7, 2021, at Tampa’s Raymond James Stadium. Tom Brady and the Buccaneers have found their stride in the past two weeks with impressive victories over the Raiders and Packers and are now +650 third-favorites to win Super Bowl 55 at

Tom Brady’s Bucs | 2020 NFL Expert Analysis

Kansas City (+350) and Baltimore continue to lead the way (+600), but the Bucs have replaced Seattle as the team with the shortest odds from the NFC.

In Sunday’s 45-20 win in Las Vegas, Brady passed for 369 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions for a 127.0 rating and added a rushing touchdown while tight end Rob Gronkowski had a touchdown reception.

Including the postseason, Brady and Gronkowski have connected for 92 touchdowns, tied with the Pro Football Hall of Fame combination of Steve Young and Jerry Rice (92) for the second-most touchdowns by a quarterback-receiver pairing in NFL history. Only Peyton Manning and Marvin Harrison (114 touchdowns) had more. Brady now has 94 career games with at least 300 passing yards, surpassing Manning (93) for the second-most in NFL history. Only Drew Brees (122) has more. Brady’s not catching Brees.

The Bucs did get some bad news from Sunday’s win as 2019 Pro Bowl wideout Chris Godwin fractured his index finger and is out for Week 8 against the Giants at a minimum. Godwin has played in just four games for the Bucs this season, but the team believes he has a shot to play in Week 9. That week also should see the debut of newly-signed wideout Antonio Brown.

Brown officially signed his one-year deal with Tampa Bay on Tuesday. It is a one-year deal for a base salary of $750,000 with incentives that could push the value to $2.5 million. He can earn $750,000 if the Buccaneers win the Super Bowl and has three $250,000 incentives for 45 receptions, 650 yards and six touchdowns during the regular season. For Brown to earn the individual incentives, the Buccaneers must make the playoffs.

Brown is currently in Week 7 of an eight-week suspension for violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy and he is still under probation for felony burglary with battery charges for the next two years. Brady had been pushing for the Bucs to sign Brown since the summer, and Brown also had interest from the Seattle Seahawks. Tampa Bay has a two-year window to win and will do anything to capitalize.

Kansas City has been the betting favorite to repeat all season. Former All-Pro running back Le’Veon Bell rushed six times for 39 yards in the Chiefs’ Week 7 win over the Broncos. Bell was not targeted in the passing game. It was an inconclusive Chiefs debut for the 28-year-old back. He was signed after being released by the Jets.

We should find out how good Baltimore is this week as the Ravens are 3.5-point favorites over the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers, who are the NFL’s only unbeaten. Last week’s trade for defensive end Yannick Ngakoue from Minnesota gives the Ravens another pass rusher to stalk Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger, which could be a key addition for this matchup.

Ngakoue grew up in Bowie, Md., about 30 minutes from M&T Bank Stadium. He wasn’t rooting for the Ravens, however. He was a Steelers fan.

The 6-0 Steelers (+750 to win Super Bowl) will be trying to match their best start to a season in franchise history. Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin is 11-13 against the Ravens in the regular season — 2-1 in the postseason — since John Harbaugh became the head coach in Baltimore and many of those games have come down to the wire. Four of them have gone to overtime.

Seattle is now +800 to win the Super Bowl after losing last Sunday night at Arizona. The Seahawks have been living on the edge far too often, and it finally caught up with them. Since 2012, Seattle had been 59-0 in games in which it led by at least four points at halftime. Russell Wilson had 472 combined passing and rushing yards. He threw for 388 yards and rushed for 84, his most rushing yards since Week 10 of the 2018 season.

However, Wilson also threw three picks. It was just his fifth game, playoffs included, with three or more interceptions. The Seahawks are now 1-4 when Wilson throws three or more interceptions, with the only win coming in the NFC Championship Game victory over Green Bay.

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