It has been a strange kind of season in the NFL through the opening 4 weeks. The question you have to ask is whether any teams have emerged as definite favorites. The Buffalo Bills seem to still be the consensus choice, but they have not looked as good over the past 2 weeks as they did in the opening 2. The Philadelphia Eagles come into Week 5 as the only team with an unbeaten record, plus Jalen Hurts is now getting mentioned in the MVP conversation, which might be a little premature given how much football still needs to be played. What we can say at this point is that things look to be pretty wide open. We are narrowing our focus to Week 5 instead of looking too far ahead, so let’s get things started by making some O/U picks for this NFL Betting weekend.
O/U Picks for the Top Games | NFL Week 5 Betting Analysis
Detroit Lions at New England Patriots (OVER 46 ½)
It is full rebuild time for the Lions, which is something we have said for several years now, and you have to say that there are some signs of progress. Yes, the Lions are 1-3 on the season, but they have been incredibly entertaining to watch and have been particularly exciting on the offensive side of the football. The Patriots are also 1-3, which is not where you want to be in a division as tough as the AFC East. Given how things have gone with the Lions this season, I think the point total is a bit on the low side. This is a team that has seen the OVER hit in every game this season, as well as in their last 6 overall. The OVER has also hit in 6 of the last 8 for the Patriots.
New York Giants Vs Green Bay Packers (OVER 41)
It’s probably not surprising to see the Packers sitting at 3-1 after the opening 4 weeks of the season, but I’ll bet that a lot of folks are surprised to see the Giants sitting with the same record. This is a good matchup, and one that you’ll need to get out of bed a little earlier than usual for, as this game is set for Sunday morning. Yes, this is another London, England game, which means that any talk of home field advantage goes out the window. While the London games are often low-scoring affairs, I think there is a very good chance that this one goes OVER. That is how things have gone in 8 of the last 10 where these teams have met, and the Packers have been in as the favorite.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (UNDER 44 ½)
This is one that strikes me as a little bit risky, as it certainly looks as though Trevor Lawrence is beginning to adjust to life as an NFL QB. The Jaguars are sitting at 2-2 and have been a good deal more competitive than we have seen in several years. They will relish the chance to get over .500 on home field against a Texans team still looking for their first win of the season. In terms of the point total, we might just need to look at the Jaguars, who have seen 5 of their last 6 home games go UNDER the point total.