In the playoffs, quarterback matchups are more important than any other matchups in a single game. This weekend, the quarterback matchups pit great QB versus great QB in most of the games. Check out an analysis of the quarterback matchup for each game along with our NFL Playoffs Betting picks on which QB wins the duel.
Who’ll Win the Quarterback Matchups in the Wild Card Round? | NFL Lines & Betting Predictions
2023 NFL Wild Card Weekend
- When: Saturday, Jan. 14 – Sunday, Jan. 15
Seattle Seahawks-Geno Smith at San Francisco 49ers – Brock Purdy | Saturday, Jan. 14
In two games this season, the 49ers have shut down Smith. Geno threw for a TD and a pick in the combined two games. He threw for 238 in the first game and less than 200 yards in the second.
Brock Purdy has been tearing it up in Kyle Shanahan’s system. Deebo Samuel is back, which means the 49ers can open the offense even more. Brock wins this matchup.
NFL Wild Card QB Pick: Brock Purdy
L.A. Chargers – Justin Herbert at Jacksonville Jaguars – Trevor Lawrence | Saturday, Jan. 14
There are a couple of reasons to go against Trevor Lawrence versus Justin Herbert and it has nothing to do Lawrence’s talent.
First and foremost, the Chargers are excellent versus the pass and not so good against the rush. Doug Pederson is going to call a game that leans heavily on Travis Etienne and the Jags’ rushing attack.
Second, Herbert has better targets than Lawrence. Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are two pro bowl level receivers. Austin Ekeler is one of the top pass-catching running backs in the NFL. No way Lawrence outplays Herbert.
NFL Wild Card QB Pick: Justin Herbert
Miami Dolphins-TBD at Buffalo Bills-Josh Allen | Sunday, Jan. 15
Mike McDaniel said all three quarterbacks on the depth chart: Tua Tagovailoa, Teddy Bridgewater, and Skylar Thompson, were suffering from some sort of ailment.
Tua remains in the concussion protocol. It’s doubtful Tagovailoa sees the field on Sunday. Bridgewater could play but Skylar Thompson got the call versus the Jets.
No matter who plays for Miami, the player won’t out duel Josh Allen. Allen accounts for a huge percentage of Buffalo’s yards and TDs. So Allen gets the nod in the matchup.
NFL Wild Card QB Pick: Josh Allen
New York Giants-Daniel Jones at Minnesota Vikings-Kirk Cousins | Sunday, Jan. 15
Daniel Jones is a good quarterback. But he’s not a light up the defense type of dude. More importantly, Brian Daboll will lean on Saquon Barkley in the rushing game to keep Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson on the bench.
Cousins will have no choice but to attack the Giants’ secondary. The G-Men’s defense revolves around stopping the rush. Cousins should post better stats than Jones even if Daniel’s team comes out the straight up winner.
NFL Wild Card QB Pick: Kirk Cousins
Baltimore Ravens-TBD at Cincinnati Bengals-Joe Burrow | Sunday, Jan. 15
Burrow didn’t have a great game against the Ravens in the last head-to-head. However, it’s impossible to side with Anthony Brown or Tyler Huntley in this.
Neither will move the football with much success against the Cincy defense. Lamar Jackson could end up on the field during the playoffs, yes.
But it won’t be until the divisional round or, if Baltimore makes it, the conference game. Burrow should post the much better stats than the quarterback on which John Harbaugh rolls the dice.
NFL Wild Card QB Pick: Joe Burrow
Dallas Cowboys-Dak Prescott at Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Tom Brady | Monday, Jan. 16th
It’s easy to look at stats and say Dak Prescott. After all, the Cowboys scored way more points during the regular season. Dak, though, threw 15 picks during the regular season, tops in the league.
Prescott also bombed against Tampa this season, throwing a pick and for just 134 yards. The Buccaneers have no choice but to lean on the Terrific One. Brady outplays Dak.
NFL Wild Card QB Pick: Tom Brady