ATP 2023 Astana Open Odds Analysis and Betting Favorites

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While the 2023 Astana Open doesn’t have any ATP Finals implications, there’s more than $1 million in prize money available for the 28 players in the Kazakhstan tournament. The top eight seeds are all ranked inside of the top 40 in the world rankings, with Tallon Griekspoor, world No. 24, as the top seed. 

This is the fourth edition of the ATP 250 level tournament. The event takes place from September 27 to October 3 at the National Tennis Center.

That said, let’s take a closer look at the upcoming Astana Open tournament so you can bet against the ATP betting lines.

ATP Betting Preview for the 2023 Astana Open | MyBookie ATP Betting Preview

2023 Astana Open | 4th edition of the Astana Open
ATP Tour 250 Series
Wednesday, September 27th – Tuesday, October 3rd, 2023
National Tennis Center, Astana, Kazakhstan

Astana Open History

An indoor hard courts tournament, the Astana Open began in 2020 and was created by the ATP Tour as part of efforts to make up for events canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

John Millman won the inaugural event, and Kwon Soon-woo won in 2021. Novak Djokovic was last year’s champion when it was a 500-level event and attracted a much deeper field.

The Top Half of the Draw

As the top seed in the tournament, Griekspoor receives an automatic bye into the second round, where he will face the winner of a qualifier and Roberto Carballes Baena.

Fourth seed Jiri Lehecka receives the other bye in the top half of the draw, which also includes talented players like Sebastian Korda, Botic Van De Zandschulp, and Laslo Djere. 

Griekspoor is the obvious candidate to get through the top half of the draw. The Dutch player won his first two titles on the ATP Tour this season and is coming off a 2-1 performance at the Davis Cup. Djere, the seventh seed, is a strong candidate to make the semifinals. He reached the third round of the US Open before losing to Djokovic in five sets.

The Bottom Half of the Draw

Alexander Bublik will be the clear home crowd favorite, but the Kazakh player has struggled this season. After a breakthrough year in 2022, Bublik is just 16-23 this season.

He’s tough to project at this point, as the pressure of trying to win in his home country could either motivate him toward a resurgence or be too much to handle.

Sebastian Baez and Adrian Mannarino are better betting options to take the bottom half of the draw. Baez also had a decent showing at the US Open, losing in the third round to runner-up Daniil Medvedev. However, don’t count out veterans Dominic Thiem and Stan Wawrinka. 

Astana Open Finals Prediction

While it’s not exactly a bold prediction, expect Griekspoor to meet Baez in the final. Both players only have to win three matches to win their half of the draw and have the benefit of added rest.

They’re also playing quite well at the moment and have shown the ability to keep up with some of the top players on the ATP Tour. 

Astana Open Pick: Baez def. Griekspoor 6-4, 7-6 | Bet Astana Open to Win
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