Rain and high temperatures are wreaking havoc on the first Grand Slam of the season. The Australian Open had to push a pause on outdoor play on Tuesday, and that created a first-round backlog that carried into Day 3. With roofs on three courts, play did continue with defending champion and top seed Rafael Nadal falling to American MacKenzie McDonald in straight sets.
The delays will have an impact on the schedule and also on the betting. Some parts of the draws are in different stages, varying from the first round to the third round. Some players are going to lose days off between matches and have to play on consecutive days, once the weather cooperates.
Eventually, this will give a boost to the players at peak fitness and those with experience getting through long grand slams will have an advantage. Let’s take a look at some of the Australian Open Betting Lines for matches currently scheduled for Day 4.
2023 Australian Open Predictions & Betting Opportunities for the Week | ATP Odds & Picks
JJ Wolf -177
American J.J. Wolf is favored in the second round against No. 23 seed Diego Schwartzman. These two have never met and both won in four sets in the opening round, playing in blistering conditions. Schwartzman faced 14 break points against a qualifier and had to play more than four hours to get to the second round.
Wolf looked more comfortable in his win over Australian Jordan Thompson. This is the first time in the main draw at Melbourne Park for Wolf, but he’s had success on the hard courts, while Schwartzman has had the most success on clay. This will be a hard-fought match, but Wolf is the better hard court player, and the seeding won’t matter at all.
Ben Shelton -145
A young American playing in his second Grand Slam, Ben Shelton is favored to move onto the third round as he faces qualifier, Nicolas Jarry. The 2022 NCAA singles champion at the University of Florida, Shelton turned pro last summer and beat Casper Ruud to reach the third round of the Cincinnati Masters. A 20-year-old with a serve that tops 130 mph, Shelton won his first-round match in five sets and should be settled in as he takes the court in the second round.
Jarry is a 27-year-old qualifier who upset No. 27 Miomir Kecmanovic in the first round in straight sets. Ranked in the 130’s, Jarry has qualified for just two slams since 2019, has never been past the second round in 11 slams, and is 0-2 in the second round. This match is a big opportunity for Shelton and could set up an All-American third-round match with No. 8 Taylor Fritz.
Top Quarter Men’s Bracket Futures
With Nadal’s loss, the top quarter of the draw is now completely wide open. Nadal was third in odds to win the entire tournament at +750, and he’s won this tournament twice, including last year.
Now the top part of the bracket is wide open, with only two players in the top section with experience in a grand slam semifinal. No. 16 Frances Tiafoe and No. 18 Karen Khachanov both reached the semifinals at the 2022 U.S. Open. With Nadal out, they are the top seeds in the section and in line to play in the third round.
The other section of the top quadrant includes No. 7 Daniil Medvedev, the 2021 U.S. Open winner and a two-time finalist in Melbourne. Medvedev is the second-best betting favorite to win it all, behind Novak Djokovic. The biggest threat to Medvedev in his section is No. 10 Hubert Hurkacz, while seeded players Sebastian Korda and Denis Shapovalov are both dangerous.
The Nadal loss opens up more betting opportunities on futures bets for players like Tiafoe, Khachanov, and even McDonald, who pulled off the upset of a legend on Tuesday.