With the French Open in the rearview mirror, the tennis world turns its attention to the grass court season, culminating in the Wimbledon Championships. This year’s two-week event at the All-England Lawn & Tennis Club will be controversial from the start. The powers that be have banned all competitors from Russia and Belarus due to the Ukraine conflict which means top players Daniil Medvedev. Andrey Rublev, Karen Khachanov, Victoria Azarenka, Aryna Sabalenka and others will not be participating.
In addition, tennis legends Serena Williams, Venus Williams and Roger Federer have not committed to playing as they all return from lengthy injury layoffs. Alexander Zverev was injured in the French Open final and likely won’t be ready for Wimbledon either and the status of Naomi Osaka has been a week-to-week basis for the last two years. With all that in mind, it’s time to have at the early Wimbledon Betting Odds.
Early 2022 Wimbledon Odds Update | Tennis Betting Analysis
Djokovic Big Favorite
Even if the men’s players mentioned above were in the draw, six-time champion Novak Djokovic would be the favorite. The Serbian has made the Wimbledon final in seven of his last 10 appearances and he’s won three straight titles on the famous centre court. A loss to rival Rafael Nadal ended Djokovic’s run at the French Open in the quarterfinals but he is -110 at MyBookie to win his 21st Grand Slam title on July 10.
Nadal has the third best odds at +600 but he hasn’t made a Wimbledon final since 2011 and only reached the semifinals twice in that span. The Spaniard has had a great 2022 season with titles in the Australian Open and French Open but grass has not historically been one of his better surfaces.
Carlos Alcaraz has also had a great 2022 season with big wins on the hard courts and the clay. The 19-year-old is +560 to win at Wimbledon, which would be his first Grand Slam title. Alcaraz has never made a final on grass and lost in the second round at Wimbledon last year.
Last year’s finalist, Italian Marco Berrettini is +1000 to win this year. He made the semifinals at the Australian Open this season before missing the French with hand surgery.
The other semifinalists last year were Denis Shapavolov (+1800) and Hubert Hurkacz (+2200) while Felipe Auger-Aliassime (+1225) made the quarterfinals. Marin Cilic, who made the semis at the French, is +2200 and he has four quarterfinal runs at Wimbledon, including a loss in the 2017 final.
A couple highly-ranked players with good odds have struggled on grass. Stefanos Tsitsipas is +1100 but he’s lost in the first round in three of his four trips to Wimbledon
Federer, an eight-time Wimbledon champ, is listed at +2300 but it is not yet sure if he will be in the draw. The 20-time Grand Slam winner hasn’t played since last year’s quarterfinal loss to Hurkacz at Wimbledon.
Women’s Tournament Wide Open
If Serena Williams isn’t in London, the women’s bracket is completely wide open. Even if the 23-time Grand Slam champion is able to play, no one knows how effective she will be. Williams, who has seven titles on center court, hasn’t played since retiring in the first round at last year’s Wimbledon.
Iga Swiatek is the betting favorite after winning a second French Open title earlier this month. The title win over Coco Gauff was her 35th straight win and Swiatek is +180 to win at Wimbledon. However she’s never made a final on a grass court and in two appearances at Wimbledon she has losses in the fourth and first rounds.
Osaka, who also doesn’t have a grass court title, is +700. She withdrew from Wimbledon last year, lost early in Paris and hasn’t been past the third round at Wimbledon.
The field will have past champions. Simona Halep won the 2019 title over Serena but hasn’t returned to Wimbledon since. She is +1250 and 2018 champ Angelique Kerber is +2700. Kerber reached the semifinals last year and was a runner up in 2016
Last year’s champion, Ash Barty, has retired from tennis and the 2021 runner up, Karolina Pliskova is +1700. Pliskova went out early at the French but has historically been better on grass and hard courts.
An intriguing wager could be placed on Gauff. The American teenager stormed through the French Open bracket until she ran into Swiatek in the final. She has reached the fourth round in both of her appearances at WImbledon and is +1400 to win this year.
Former quarterfinalists at Wimbledon, Ona Jabuer (+1950) and Madison Keys (+3500) also offer value. Great Britain will put their hopes on Emma Raducanu, a former US Open champion. Raducanu is just outside the top 10 rankings and her odds are +1050 but she also had to retire from her first round match on Tuesday in her Wimbledon tune-up.
Betting Analysis and Prediction
With four tournaments on grass between now and Wimbledon’s start, the odds will change throughout June. Also when the draws are released those odds will update based on the top contender’s paths to the finals.
Early predictions are to lock in Djokovic’s odds now with possible flyers on Berrettini and Auger-Aliassime on the men’s side. On the women’s side, Gauff’s odds are very nice a month out, as are the odds on Kerber, who has always played well at Wimbledon.
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