UFC Fight Night Holloway vs. Allen Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts

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The main event at UFC Fight Night on Saturday at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City isn’t for a title. But it is a terrific bout between a couple of solid mixed-martial-artists in Max Holloway and Arnold Allen. Also on the card, Edson Barboza returns to the octagon to face Billy Quarantillo. See below for UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the main card bouts at UFC Fight Night on Saturday.

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen – Main Card

When: Saturday, April 15 at 5:30 pm ET
Where: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
TV / Streaming: ESPN/ESPN +

Clay Guida +200 vs. Rafa Garcia -263

Based on physical stats, these two are as even as it gets. Both are 5’ 7”. Both have a 70 inches reach. But the physical stats is where the similarities end.

Favored Rafa Garcia is 15-3. Clay Guida is 39-19. Garcia has won 3-of-5. Guida has also won 3-of-5, but Guida heads into this lacking the necessary striking skills to get it done. Also, Garcia is a decent grappler and Clay is a straight up wrestler. The chalk wins.

UFC Fight Night: Rafa Garcia
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Pedro Munhoz +167 vs. Chris Guitierrez -217

The odds on Munhoz versus Guitierrez projects a competitive bout. Munhoz is 19-7. Pedro might have turned the form around in the last, a no contest draw versus Sean O’Malley. Before the draw, Munhoz had lost 2 straight and 3-of-4.

Chris Guitierrez is on a 4-match winning streak. The chalk beat Frankie Edgar via first round knockout in his last. Guitierrez should find it tougher to beat Munhoz than it was to beat Edgar, but Chris will still get it done.

UFC Fight Night: Chris Guitierrez
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Tanner Boser +107 vs. Ion Cutelaba -136

It feels like Ion Cutelaba is the chalk in this because he’s the more well-known mixed-martial-artist. Cutelaba is on a 3-match losing streak. Also, he’s 2-4 via submissions.

Tanner Boser has a win and 3 losses in his last 4. Boser’s victory came 2 fights ago. Boser lost a split-decision in his last. That bout should set him up to win this.

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Dustin Jacoby -166 vs. Azamat Murzakanov +131

Jacoby has a 5-inch height advantage. The favorite’s reach advantage is 4.5 inches.

However, on Saturday, the chalk faces a 12-0 beast in Azamat Murzakanov. The Russian striker knocked out Devin Clark with a body punch in his last bout. Murzakanov has a rock solid chin. So if Jacoby gets into a brawl, and it’s tough not to when you face Azamat, Murzakanov wins.

UFC Fight Night: Azamat Murzakanov
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Edson Barboza +143 vs. Billy Quarantillo +185

The 22-11 Barboza is a terrific Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu striker. But Edson heads to the Octagon after 2 straight losses.

Quarantillo won his last via knockout over Alexander Hernandez at UFC 282. Quarantillo has a 5 inches reach disadvantage. That reach disadvantage should come into play. Barboza gets the nod.

UFC Fight Night: Edson Barboza
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Max Holloway -188 vs. Arnold Allen +166

Holloway has a 3 inches height advantage. Not only that, but Max’s last 3 losses have all happened in title fights.

Still, it’s tough to back Holloway at the odds given Allen’s record. The underdog in this is 19-1. Allen’s lone loss happened back in 2014. In his last, Allen beat Calvin Kattar via second round knockout. In the fight before Allen ended Dan Hooker’s night in the first round. The dog is the play.

UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen +166
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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