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For some fans, seeing their team make the playoffs is more than enough to make them believe that the season as a whole was a positive. 2024 MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Odds, American Football NFL Lines | Dallas Cowboys Postseason Betting Analysis

The Detroit Lions are in that group, with their fans more than a little excited to see the Lions make it in after an extended absence from postseason play. While those teams still want to go out and win, the pressure is somewhat off given their lack of previous success. The same cannot be said for teams like the Green Bay Packers, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Dallas Cowboys, all of whom have a historic legacy to uphold. The fans of those teams expect nothing less than a championship, which can be a heavy burden to bear. All of those teams are in the playoffs this season, but it is the Cowboys that many believe have the best chance of the bunch to go deep and potentially win it all. Let’s take a closer look at the Dallas Cowboys.

Regular Season Recap

It always felt as though the NFC East was going to be a 2-horse race between the Cowboys and the Eagles, which is exactly how it all played out. The Cowboys edged it, but they certainly got some help from Philly, who went in the tank a little in the second half of the season. That said, a 12-5 record is more than deserving of a division crown.

The Cowboys were a little up and down to start the season, going 4-2 through their opening 6 games, but they seemed to get into a groove after that. They went on a run that saw them win 7 of their next 8 games before dropping 2 in a row to the Bills and Dolphins, a pair of teams also headed to the postseason. The Cowboys closed out with a big win over the Detroit Lions before ending the regular season with a comfortable win over the Washington Commanders.

Bet on the Cowboys to Win in the Wild Card Game against Packers

Cowboys Injuries

Stats, Trends, and Odds

The Cowboys offense went through the regular season with the pedal firmly to the metal, which can be seen by their offensive stats. Dak Prescott averaged 258 YPG (3rd overall) through the air, while the run game was middle of the pack with 113 YPG. This is a team that can rack up some big points, though, as they finished first in the NFL with an average of almost 30 PPG. The D did their part, surrendering just 18 PPG, good for 5th overall.

With that #2 seed, the Cowboys are going to have at least a couple of home games, assuming they get that deep. This has to be seen as very good news when you consider that the Cowboys were a perfect 8-0 in their own building this season. They are not going to fear any team that comes their way, starting with the Green Bay Packers in the Wild Card Round.

The big concern for Cowboys fans right now is that they lost 4 games to teams that are in the playoffs right now, so can they find a way to start winning the big ones? The bookies rate them highly, putting them at +275 to win the NFC, as well as +800 to win the Super Bowl. If they can ride that home field advantage, those odds might prove to be a real bargain.

Cowboys’s Key Quarterbacks

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Odds to Win 2024 NFC Championship

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Dallas Cowboys 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

Dallas Cowboys | 64th season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Jerry Jones
Head coach: Mike McCarthy
Home field: AT&T Stadium | Arlington, Texas

The Dallas Cowboys project as one of this season’s best teams. But just because Dallas should be a good team, it doesn’t mean they will cover in more games than they will lose. Check out Dallas’ SU, ATS, and over under records from 2022, along with analysis and predictions for 2023.

Let’s see if Dallas Cowboys have what it takes to back the betting odds to win the Super Bowl.

What is Dallas’ straight up prediction this season?

Dallas should start the season 3-1. The Cowboys will lose to the Giants in the first game. But then, Big D will run off 3 straight victories against the Jets, Cardinals, and Patriots.

A loss to San Francisco looks probable. We predict Dallas’ defense stops Herbert and the Chargers offense in week 6.

After week 7’s bye, the Boys will beat the Rams, Giants, Panthers, Commanders in week 12, and Bills. But Dallas will struggle to get by the Eagles, Seahawks, Lions, Commanders in week 18, and Dolphins.

At the end of the season, Dallas will have a 10-7 straight up record.

What will Dallas against the spread record be this season?

If the Cowboys go 10-7, how many of those games will be wins against the spread? The Cowboys should sweep the New York Giants straight up, but it’s likely Big D goes 1-1 ATS versus the G-Men.

Philadelphia should beat Dallas twice this season, but the Boys should cover in at least one of the games versus the Eagles.

The Dallas Cowboys will struggle to cover the 6.5 against the Arizona Cardinals in week 3. The Boys should win, but covering could be a challenge.

Then covering the 5.5 versus the Commanders in week 12 won’t be easier, either. So at the end of the regular season, we should expect the Dallas Cowboys to have an 8-9 against the spread record.

What will be the over under total record for Dallas Cowboys’ games in 2023?

Oddsmakers are excellent at setting NFL totals. For some reason, oddsmakers are better at setting over under lines than they are at setting spread lines, which explains why the total in Dallas games last season went 8-8.

This season should be slightly different. There won’t be a push. Not only that, but Dallas projects to play in more under games than last season, only a couple more, because of the tough schedule.

Seattle, Washington, the Giants, Philadelphia, the 49ers, and even the Cardinals should boast decent defenses. The problem if you like betting under or over is that oddsmakers make quick adjustments.

Also, unlike spread lines, we don’t know the totals before hand. So let’s say the Boys play in one more under games than they did last season. If that happens, the over under total in Dallas Cowboys’ games will end with an 8-9 record.

Super Bowl Pick | Bet Dallas Cowboys to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Super Bowl

2024 Super Bowl Odds

Pre-Draft Super Bowl Odds
+1400

Current Super Bowl Odds
+1400

AFC North Win Totals

Philadelphia Eagles
10.5 (Over -150, Under +130)

Dallas Cowboys
9.5 (Over -130, Under +110)

New York Giants
8.5 (Over +115, Under -140)

Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders: 6.5 (Over -120, Under +100)

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The Dallas Cowboys, “America’s Team”, is looking to avoid another playoff disappointment this season .Dallas had looked like one of the best teams in the league until the last few weeks of the season. The Cowboys’ defense started to struggle, the running game was non-existent, and Dak Prescott was turning the ball over at an alarming rate. Dallas has recently been known for their great regular seasons and then flopping in the postseason. Jerry Jones hasn’t won a Super Bowl since the Jimmy Johnson/Barry Switzer era, and he is desperate to win another one before he turns the reins over to his sons.

For Dallas to avoid another postseason disappointment, they are first going to have to travel to Tampa Bay and take on the sports’ greatest winner, Tom Brady, and his Buccaneers. Can Dallas gain some momentum back, or will Brady and the Bucs turn things around in the postseason? 

We’ll now look at some Betting numbers for the Cowboys and give you our best betting advice for “America’s Team” in the postseason. 

Betting Numbers

Coming in at a +450 to win the NFC, the Cowboys have the third-best odds behind Philadelphia and San Francisco to win the conference this season. Dallas was in the running to win the NFC East and possibly home-field advantage throughout the playoffs until the final week of the regular season. The combination of Philadelphia and San Francisco winning their games and their embarrassing loss to the Washington Commanders ended the Cowboys’ chance of winning the division.

As far as the Super Bowl goes, the Cowboys are a +1300 to win the Lombardi Trophy. Dallas has the sixth-best odds of winning the Super Bowl. In their opening-round game against Tampa, Dallas is a 2.5-point road favorite. Even though Dallas had a much better record than Tampa Bay, Tampa got the higher seed and the home field for this game because they won the NFC South.

Should We Bet On the Cowboys?

First off, let’s take a look at how the season ended. The Cowboys lost embarrassingly to the Washington Commanders in the season’s final game. Washington started a third-string quarterback, and the Cowboys looked abysmal throughout the game. Over the last two games, Dallas rushed for 87 and 64 yards. They had 87 against Tennessee and 64 against Washington. For Dallas’s offense to be effective, the running game must be there.

Secondly, Dak Prescott has to take care of the football. Prescott threw 15 interceptions this season, including 11 of them in the last seven games of the season. If he continues to turn the ball over, it’s going to be hard for Dallas to win.

The Dallas secondary has struggled late in the season. They gave up the ninth-most passing yards on the season and allowed 22 passing touchdowns, which was the most of any team in the league if Brady can connect with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.

Right now, we don’t have any faith in Dallas. We are predicting another postseason disaster for them, and then the rumors of Sean Payton going to Dallas will be running rampant. Dallas isn’t good enough to win the NFC, so save your money.

 

 

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High expectations surround the Dallas Cowboys this season. The Cowboys boast one of the league’s top offenses and a defense that is quickly becoming one of the NFL’s best units, which is why odds on Dallas to win their division, the NFC, and the Super Bowl are much lower than they were at the beginning of last season. We explain which Dallas options present overlays and which present underlays in our Dallas Cowboys 2022 season NFL Betting guide.  

Dallas Cowboys 2022 Season NFL Betting Guide

2022-23 NFL Regular Season

When: Sep. 8, 2022 – Jan. 8, 2023

Dallas Cowboys Over/Under 10 ½ 

On paper, the Cowboys look like one of the better teams in the NFL. The offense and defense boast great players. But the schedule is loaded with quality opponents.

The Cowboys host Tampa and Cincinnati in the first couple of weeks. The Boys travel to play the Rams and to Philadelphia in weeks 5 and 6. There are also road games versus Green Bay, Minnesota, Jacksonville, and Tennessee. 

If the win-loss total was 10 games, over might be the play. But 10 looks like the ceiling. The half a point makes under the wiser choice. 

Total Game Pick: Under 10 ½  

Cowboys to win the NFC East -105 

Winning the NFC East won’t be easy. Washington and the New York Giants are much better this season than they were last season. 

The Philadelphia Eagles should be a good football team. But Dallas is the class of the division. So if you like the Cowboys, go for it because the line is more than fair.

NFC East Odds: Overlay 

Dallas to win the NFC Conference +800

Dallas should sweep the Giants and Commanders and split with the Eagles, which is why the Boys offer overlay odds to win the NFC East.

+800 to win the conference is another matter. Tampa Bay, Green Bay, and the Rams are the top contenders. Team like the Vikings and Saints have an outside shot.

But the NFC isn’t close to being as deep as the AFC. The odds aren’t overlaid. But they aren’t underlaid, either. The Cowboys offer fair odds to win the NFC. 

NFC Conference Odds: Fair  

Dallas to Win the Super Bowl +1725

If Dallas wins the NFC Conference, they require one more win to take home the Lombardi Trophy. The odds suggest Dallas has a worse chance to win the Super Bowl than the Bills, Buccaneers, Chiefs, Packers, Rams, Chargers, 49ers, and Broncos.

But Dallas won’t have to beat all of those teams to win the Super Bowl. If the Cowboys win the NFC, they’ll just have to beat Buffalo, or the Chiefs, or the Chargers. 

On paper, Dallas can compete with any team offering lower odds than they do to win the NFL Championship. The line makes the Boys an overlay to lift the Lombardi Trophy.

Super Bowl Odds: Overlay

QB Dak Prescott to win NFL MVP +1500

It’s tough say the odds on Dak to win the NFL MVP are overlaid. Prescott isn’t the only option. Zeke Elliott remains one of the more talented running backs in the league.

So we should expect McCarthy to utilize Ezekiel more this season than he did last season. McCarthy, though, will ditch Elliott if Zeke isn’t up to the task. 

So we can’t say that the odds on Dak to win the MVP are underlaid, either. Let’s go with fair. The +1500 odds on Dak Prescott to win the NFL MVP are fair. 

NFL MVP Odds: Fair

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After back-to-back disappointing seasons, the Dallas Cowboys are NFC East champions and in the playoffs for the first time since 2018. Can America’s Team bring owner Jerry Jones his first Super Bowl title since the 1995 season? Let’s break down the Cowboys’ odds, including their game Sunday vs. San Francisco.

Dallas Cowboys Postseason NFL

Odds vs. 49ers: -3 (total 51)
Odds to win NFC: +550
Odds to win Super Bowl 56: +1075

The Cowboys and 49ers haven’t played this season – San Francisco hasn’t beaten Dallas since 2014, but, again, they don’t play every year. This will be the eighth time these franchises have met in the postseason, tied for the second most of any matchup in the Super Bowl era to the nine games between the Rams and Cowboys. It’s the first playoff matchup between them since the 1994 season when the Niners beat the Cowboys in the NFC title game.

Dallas closed the regular season with a confidence-building 51-26 win over Philadelphia. At 12-5, the Cowboys moved up to the No. 3 seed with losses by the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals.

Dak Prescott completed 21-of-27 passes for 295 yards and five touchdowns. Prescott threw four of his five touchdowns in the first half. It’s the second time in the last three weeks Prescott needed only a half to clear the mark, throwing for 330 yards and four TDs in Dallas’ Week 16 blowout of Washington. He finished the year completing 69% of his passes for 4,449 yards and a 37:10 TD/INT ratio. Prescott will win NFL Comeback Player of the Year.

While Ezekiel Elliott remains the top running back with Dallas, Tony Pollard is one of the best backups in the NFL. Pollard was a full participant in practice on Wednesday. He has been laboring through a plantar fascia injury for over a month and was held out of Week 18 because of the issue but will be good to go Sunday.

The Cowboys set a franchise mark for points in a season (530). They set an NFL record with 22 different players scoring a touchdown. A season after allowing a franchise-record 473 points, they gave up 358 points. The Cowboys became the first team in NFL history to have a 4,000-yard passer (Prescott), 1,000-yard rusher (Ezekiel Elliott), 1,000-yard receiver (CeeDee Lamb) and defenders with 10-plus sacks (linebacker Micah Parsons) and 10-plus interceptions (cornerback Trevon Diggs).

Parsons is going to win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year. Early this week, the Cowboys activated Micah Parsons from the reserve/COVID-19 list. Parsons was one of the most dominant pass-rushers the NFL has ever seen. Parsons, listed as a linebacker, split time between edge defender and off-ball linebacker in Dan Quinn’s defense — and he excelled at both positions. He finished fourth in pass rush win rate in the league (24.8%) and had 13 sacks and three forced fumbles in 16 games. Parsons had lunch this week with future Hall of Famer pass-rusher DeMarcus Ware, a former Cowboy, to get some playoff tips.

Parsons was told the 49ers offense likes to play “bully ball” and his answer was: “I’m from Harrisburg where the bullies get bullied. There’s a bully in every gym. … At one point, it’s going to take somebody to stand up and fight. I ain’t ever back down from a challenge.”

Left tackle Tyron Smith also was activated from the COVID list. Smith missed six games during the regular season and only played one of the final four games, so the practice time should be a positive for him to get back into the swing of things.

The Cowboys have not won a Super Bowl or advanced to an NFC Championship Game since 1995. They have won all three of the wild-card round playoff games they have played at AT&T Stadium (2009, 2014, 2018).

If there’s one concern, it’s with kicker Greg Zuerlein. Jerry Jones said Zuerlein’s recent struggles have “absolutely” altered the team’s game plan. Zuerlein made 82.9 percent of his field goals in the regular season, which is actually higher than his career conversion rate (he’s made 16 of his past 18 attempts). He’s also missed on six extra points this season, including one last week against the Eagles.

“He’s a sound kicker, experienced kicker, our guys are all sensitive about how to approach the game,” Jones said. “If a better alternative was out there, we’d be using it. Everything is at stake.”

Expert Pick: Cowboys win Sunday, lose in divisional round

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The New York Giants (4-9) host the Dallas Cowboys (9-4) at Metlife Stadium for an NFC East matchup in week 15. Last week the Cowboys took down the Washington Football Team on the road 27-20, while the Giants were torched by the Chargers at home 37-21. 

The Giants will most likely be playing for pride as they are barely hanging on by a thread in the playoff race, but it’s highly unlikely as they sit at 4-9. Meanwhile, with the resurgence of the Washington Football Team in recent weeks, Dallas would love to pick up a win here to further distance themselves from the rest of the pack in the NFC East.

That being said, let’s check out how these teams stack up to each other so you can get all set to make your bets against their NFL Betting Odds. 

NFL Betting Preview for Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview: Cowboys Can Clinch Playoff Berth With Win and Eagles Loss

When the Cowboys head to the Big Apple, they will have a chance to clinch a playoff spot with a win and an Eagles loss. Dallas’ magic number sits at two to clinch the division and owns a 3-0 mark in the NFC East and a league-best 7-1 in the NFC. 

As for last week, the offense wasn’t great but didn’t need to do much in the win over the Washington Commanders, as the defense paved the way in the win. Dak Prescott will look to bounce back after finishing with an ugly 58.8 quarterback rating and two interceptions.

The ground game also wasn’t their normal self with Tony Pollard out; Zeke Elliot managed just 45 yards, while the offense converted just one of their six possessions in the red zone for a touchdown. 

Overall, the offense ranks second in total offense averaging 409.1 yards and 29.2 points per game. 

Defensively, the Cowboys dominated Washington their last time out, finishing with four sacks and forcing four turnovers. Additionally, the Cowboys held the home team to 224 yards and 3-14 on third-down conversions.

Dallas entered the contest with the sixth-worst defense but excel at taking the ball away, as they rank second in the league with 27 takeaways and lead the league in interceptions (20). 

New York Giants Betting Preview: Giants Playoff Hopes Hang By a Thread

The New York Giants have struggled all season as they have been unable to play consistent football on both sides of the ball. The Giants could be at a huge disadvantage this week with a plethora of players hitting the COVID IR. To make matters worse, Joe Judge and the Giants might be without Daniel Jones for the rest of the year with a neck injury as well.

With all of that being said, the offense hasn’t been any good in 2021 anyway, as they have averaged 11.8 in their last four contests and the fifth-worst 17.8 points per game. Last week the Giants clinched their fifth straight losing season in a blowout loss to the Chargers. The offense managed just seven points through three quarters before garbage time, while Mike Glennon finished with 191 yards and an interception.

On the defensive side of the ball, New York was shredded in the air by Justin Herbert for 275 yards and three touchdowns en route to conceding 37 points. Overall, the Giants are surrendering almost 370 yards per game to opponents and have been particularly bad the last four weeks, allowing 25 points per game over that stretch. 

Betting Odds and Lines 

Early betting odds on MyBookie have the Cowboys as the -11.5 home favorite with the point total set at 45.

Free Betting Pick 

The New York Giants have absolutely nothing to gain in this game, and I expect them to be blown out at home. The Giants are 3-3 ATS at home this year and 1-3 ATS in their last three contests. 

Additionally, the Cowboys are 3-0 ATS in conference games this year, 3-0 ATS as the away favorite, and 10-3 ATS on the year. Dallas has the second-ranked offense in the league, and the Giants will be playing at a huge disadvantage with multiple players hitting the IR. Dallas’ defense is nasty; this should be a blowout. 

Free Pick:

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While it’s quite odd that owner Jerry Jones seems to a bit unhappy that his ‘homeboy’ Tony Romo isn’t playing this season, the Dallas Cowboys (13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS) have clearly been transformed for the better because of the arrival of gifted rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott.

Now, as Prescott and Elliott get set to make their playoff debuts, NFL betting enthusiasts everywhere need to know what they can expect out of the Boys this approaching postseason.

Thanks to my expert betting analysis, you’re going to have a great idea of just how far Dallas can g in their quest to hoist the 2016 Vince Lombardi Super Bowl trophy.

Dallas Cowboys NFL Postseason Betting Analysis

Super Bowl 51 Odds (17/5)

NFC Championship Odds (11/10)

Why Bet on the Cowboys

Although I’m a lifelong Dallas Cowboys hater that hails from Philadelphia, I’ve got to admit that there e several great reasons why you should bet on the Cowboys this postseason.

Despite their less-than-glowing passing statistics, Dallas can both, pass and run the ball efficiently on offense. Prescott and company finished the regular season ranked fifth in total offense (376.7 ypg), second in rushing (149.8 ypg), 23rd in passing (226.9 ypg) and fifth in scoring (26.3 ppg).

Prescott passed for 3,667 yards while completing an insane 67.8 percent of his passes with 23 TD passes and was quite efficient in tossing just four interceptions.

Elliott rushed for a league-high 1,631 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging a stellar 5.1 yards per carry. Prescott also spread his passing around so much that No. 2 wideout Cole Beasley led the team in receiving yards (833) and not perennial Pro Bowler De Bryant.

More importantly, Dallas consistently improved on defense throughout the season to finish first against the run (83.5 ypg) and fifth in points allowed (19.1 ppg). The Boys have a superstar in linebacker Sean Lee that is apparently all over the field on every play. Dallas finished the regular season ranked first against the run (83.5 ypg) and fifth in points allowed (19.1 ppg).

Why Bet Against the Cowboys

Dallas looks very strong as they get set for the playoffs, but they still have a couple of blemishes that could bring their postseason to an abrupt halt. The Boys finished the regular season ranked 26th against the pass (260.4 ypg) and that could be a problem if they’re forced to face an explosive passing attack, like Green Bay’s for instance.

Last but not least, Dallas won’t have the coaching edge in many of their postseason games – if any. While I certainly don’t think Jason Garrett is the worst coach in the league, he’s also not as good or experienced as the vast majority of head coaches in the playoffs this postseason. If any of their games come down to coaching, Dallas could get bounced out prematurely.

In the end, Dallas has looked like the second best team in all of football behind New England all season long and will undoubtedly be very tough to dispatch this postseason.