NASCAR Odds & Preview Can-Am 500

Drivers head to Avondale, Arizona for the 2018 Can-Am 500 with news already shaping 2019. Martin Truex Jr., the defending Monster Energy Cup Champion and a Top 4 driver this year, has signed a deal with Joe Gibbs Racing. Truex Jr.’s changing teams. Will that affect his run on Sunday? Check out our NASCAR odds, analysis, and a pick for the each group for the 2018 Can-Am 500!

2018 Can-Am 500 NASCAR Odds & Preview

When: Sunday, Nov. 9 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: ISM Raceway, Avondale, AZ
Distance: 500 km
TV: NBC
Radio:
Streaming Option: NBC Sports App

NASCAR Group 1

Kevin Harvick +160
Kyle Busch +250
Martin Truex Jr. +350
Chase Elliott +350

Harvick won at Texas. That means he brings a hot hand to ISM Raceway on Sunday. Nobody else in this group was close to Harvick at Texas Motor Speedway. The last time the group chalk raced at ISM, he won. In fact, Harvick has 2 wins in the last 5 races at ISM Raceway. He’ll do enough to beat his top competitors in Group 1.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Kevin Harvick

NASCAR Group 2

Kyle Larson +220
Brad Keselowski +220
Clint Bowyer +270
Denny Hamlin +320

Hamlin’s got 4 Top 10 finishes in the last 5 races at ISM Raceway in Avondale. Although the track’s in Avondale, the race qualifies as a Phoenix event. Like Harvick in Group 1, Hamilton’s got a big advantage over his competitors in Group 2 because he’s been consistent in NASCAR’s Phoenix event. Forget what Hamlin did in Texas last week.

In the last at ISM, he finished 4^th behind Elliott, Busch, and Harvick. He’s the play to win Group 2.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Denny Hamlin

NASCAR Group 3

Erik Jones +220
Kurt Busch +270
Aric Almirola +270
Joey Logano +270

Erik Jones deserves the favorites odds to win Group 3. He’s got 3 Top 10 finishes in 3 races at ISM with an average finish of 7. He finished 9^th earlier this year at the Phoenix NASCAR event. Jones is in good form, having started 12^th at Texas Motor Speedway before locking down a 4^th place finish. I’m not looking past him to win Group 3.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Erik Jones

NASCAR Group 4

Jimmie Johnson +200
Alex Bowman +250
Daniel Suarez +270
Austin Dillon +350

Alex Bowman has a single Top 10 finish from 2 races at ISM. His average finish is 9^th. Bowman clocked in at 13^th in the last race in Phoenix. He started 4^th in that event, though. If he qualifies up there again, he should have no trouble beating Jimmie Johnson, Daniel Suarez, and Austin Dillon in Group 4.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Alex Bowman