2018 Italian Grand Prix Odds Analysis

This weekend, Lewis Hamilton, Sebastian Vettel, Kimi Raikkonen and the rest head to Italy for the 2018 Monza Grand Prix. Also called the Italian Grand Prix, the race takes place on Sunday, Sep. 2, at 9:00 am ET. ESPN2 broadcasts the race in the United States. Let’s take a look at the latest Formula 1 odds for this matchup.

2018 Italian Grand Prix Odds Analysis

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• Sebastian Vettel -115
• Lewis Hamilton +145
• Kimi Raikkonen +400
• Valtteri Bottas +800
• Max Verstappen +1600
• Daniel Ricciardo +3300
• Field +5000

Is Vettel a Lock? Or, Can Hamilton Beat Him?

Three weeks ago, nobody asked this question. Before Belgium, Hamilton had won 2 straight Grand Prix events. Hamilton won in Germany. He also won in Hungary. Vettel and Ferrari didn’t seem capable of hanging with Hamilton and Mercedes. Something changed at the Belgium Grand Prix. Both companies, Mercedes and Ferrari, introduced their third and final update of the year. Ferrari’s update created a monster car, which is why Vettel is suddenly at less than even money over Hamilton. Hamilton has won 3 of the last 4 Italian Grand Prix races. He’ll have a shot, but if analysts are right about the final update, Vettel could be the lock the odds imply.

Who Has the Best Chance of Winning From Raikkonen, Bottas, Verstappen, and Ricciardo?

At Belgium, Kimi Raikkonen retired. The Finnish driver sits behind the wheel for Ferrari like Vettel. Raikkonen finished fifth in last year’s Italian Grand Prix. Ahead of Raikkonen were Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, and Ricciardo. Ricciardo has a shot while Bottas’ drove great last year. The one with a big shot might be Verstappen at +1600, though. With a Tag Heuer engine, Verstappen finished third behind Vettel and Hamilton in Belgium. If Vettel and Hamilton run into trouble, or the engine changes aren’t as significant as we all believe, Verstappen could be the one to lift the trophy.

Is There a Driver in the Field Who Could Win?

Two drivers in the field that race for Force India might have a shot. Esteban Ocon and Sergio Perez finished sixth and fifth at the Belgium Grand Prix. Ocon finished sixth behind Raikkonen at last year’s Italian Grand Prix. Ocon or Perez most likely won’t pull off the massive upset. That’s why the field offers +5000 odds. If you’re looking to back a dog, just take the field, get your popcorn ready and see if Ocon or Perez can do it.