76th Primetime Emmy Awards Odds to Win
Predict the Emmy winners and cash in with MyBookie Betting Analysis
2024 Emmy Awards | 76th edition of the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards
September 15, 2024 at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
Betting 76th Primetime Emmy Awards
The 76th Emmy Awards take place on Sunday, Sep 15.
We’re concentrating on the top acting and series awards in comedy and drama.
Check out a list of nominees, analysis, and predictions along with Emmy Award odds for actress and actor in comedy and drama, top comedy and top drama series, and the best limited series of the past year.
Writer’s Picks for the Next Emmy Awards
76th Primetime Emmy Awards Odds to Win
- Jean Smart (Hacks) +150
- Ayo Edebiri (The Bear) +210
- Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) +350
- Kristin Wiig (Palm Royale) +400
- Maya Rudolph (Loot) +600
- Selena Gomez (Only Murders In The Building) +900
The odds suggest a tight race.
Truly, though, it comes down to three thespians: Jean Smart in Hacks, Ayo Edebiri in The Bear and Quinta Brunson in Abbott Elementary.
The Bear is getting the most buzz, which is why Edebiri offers overlay odds at +210.
For sure, Smart and Brunson have chances to win the Emmy.
But The Bear is the best thing in Comedy since, well, forever according to some critics.
Edebiri scores the Emmy.
Emmy Pick: Ayo Edebiri – The Bear
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy
- Jeremy Allen White (The Bear) -160
- Martin Short (Only Murders In The Building) +400
- Steve Martin (Only Murders In The Building) +400
- Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm) +600
- D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai (Reservation Dogs) +900
- Matt Berry (What We Do in the Shadows) +1000
Jeremy Allen White is a slam dunk.
He’s so much of a slam dunk that at -160, White offers overlay odds.
For starters, Martin Short and Steve Martin split the vote like they do every year.
Larry David is a viable underdog since it’s Curb’s final season.
But even the nostalgic vote won’t be enough to overtake White in The Bear.
Emmy Pick: Jeremy Allen White – The Bear
76th Primetime Emmy Awards Odds to Win
Outstanding Lead Actor for a Drama
- Hiroyuki Sanada (Shōgun) +175
- Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) +250
- Dominic West (The Crown) +350
- Donald Glover (Mr.
& Mrs.
Smith) +500
- Walton Goggins (Fallout) +600
But all three of those fantastic thespians are up against an unbeatable trio in Dominic West, Gary Oldman, and Hiroyuki Sanada.
Oldman is always a contender.
Everything in The Crown, including West, is also a contender.
Hiroyuki Sanada scores the win, though.
Shogun has produced incredible buzz and for good reason.
It’s a sweeping, magnificent epic of a show.
It’s got everything and Sanada keeps it all on track as the lead.
That’s tough to do in an ensemble like cast in one of the most ambitious shows of all time.
Outstanding Lead Actress for a Drama
- Anna Sawai (Shōgun) +110
- Jennifer Anniston (The Morning Show) +220
- Imelda Staunton (The Crown) +300
- Reese Witherspoon (The Morning Show) +600
- Maya Erskine (Mr.
& Mrs.
Smith) +700
- Carrie Coon (The Gilded Age) +900
Maya Erskine deserves to win some kind of awards.
Her brilliance is on full display along with Donald Glover in Mr. & Mrs. Smith.
But Erskine, like Staunton, Witherspoon, and Anniston, don’t have much chance versus Anna Sawai.
Like Hiroyuki Sanada, Sawai must hold together a massive production that could easily fall off the rails.
Think Amazon’s Lord of the Rings show, which never comes close to the Shogun but also includes talented actors and actresses.
Without Sawai, Shogun wouldn’t work.
Emmy voters know this, which is why she takes home the statue.
Emmy Pick: Anna Sawai
Outstanding Limited Series
- Baby Reindeer (Netflix) +105
- Fargo (FX on Hulu) +300
- Lessons In Chemistry (AppleTV+) +500
- True Detective: Night Country (HBO) +500
- Ripley (Netflix) +650
Ripley should win, but the odds suggest it doesn’t.
Ture Detective: Night Country has a better shot than +500.
Fargo returned to form, but Baby Reindeer is the most unique limited series among the five.
It’s difficult to describe Baby Reindeer unless you’ve seen it.
Let’s just say that it’s a wild stalker series that’s different than any stalker series you’ll ever see.
The chalk wins.
Emmy Pick: Baby Reindeer
Outstanding Comedy Series
- The Bear (FX on Hulu) +165
- Hacks (HBO) +250
- Abbott Elementary (ABC) +350
- Only Murders In The Building (Hulu) +500
- Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO) +700
- What We Do In The Shadows (FX on Hulu) +1000
- Reservation Dogs (FX on Hulu) +1400
- Palm Royale (Apple TV+) +1800
Hacks and Abbott Elementary are perennial contenders.
We need comedy series like Abbott Elementary to never forget that first and foremost, comedy makes us laugh.
But Abbott Elementary and Hacks have no shot against The Bear.
The FX show is the easy winner.
So grab the overlay odds while you can.
Emmy Pick: The Bear
Outstanding Drama Series
- Shōgun (FX on Hulu) +150
- The Crown (Netflix) +300
- The Morning Show (AppleTV+) +500
- The Gilded Age (HBO) +625
- Fallout (Prime Video) +800
- Slow Horses (AppleTV+) +1000
- Mr. & Mrs. Smith (Prime Video) +1300
- 3 Body Problem (Netflix) +1600
Does The Crown lose this year?
The Crown has been unbeatable in its seasons.
It usually sweeps the Emmys.
This season Shogun is giving it major competition.
So much competition, in fact, that Shogun offers half the odds that The Crown offers.
This season Shogun is giving it major competition.
So much competition, in fact, that Shogun offers half the odds that The Crown offers.
Shogun is to Hulu what The Crown is to Netflix.
It’s going to put the streamer into the take us seriously category.
The Crown can win, but viewers, and Emmy voters, may be tiring of the royal family while Shogun is the new kid on the block so to speak.
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^ Top^ TopThis is what the Oscars looked like in 1979 when Johnny Carson was hosting. This was also the first time an Oscar producer ever won an Emmy for producing the Academy Awards. Jack Haley Jr. certainly deserved it. This was also the year of Meryl Streep’s first nomination. pic.twitter.com/X9aUbRDTLN
— Vintage Los Angeles (@alisonmartino) March 11, 2023
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