The 2023-24 NBA regular season ends on Sunday already, and five of the six divisions still have yet to be clinched. Let’s break each down with futures odds and our picks.
NBA Final Week: Updated Division Races Futures Odds | MyBookie Sportsbook NBA Week 25
Atlantic Division
The Atlantic and the NBA’s best overall record was clinched a while ago by the Boston Celtics, so the NBA championship favorites really have nothing to play for in this final week. I’d expect them to give guys a few games off to get fully healthy for the playoffs. The last time the C’s were the No. 1 overall seed was in 2007-08 when the squad finished 66-16. Boston is including a league-best 34-3 at home, and has reached the 60-win mark for the first time since 2008-09. It’s the 14th time in franchise history that Boston has reached 60 wins, the most in NBA history followed by the Los Angeles Lakers (11) and the San Antonio Spurs (7).
NBA pick: Boston
Daily Line NBA Men
Central Division
Milwaukee and Cleveland may battle down to the wire for the Central with the Bucks as -175 favorites and the Cavs +140. The teams split their four meetings so that won’t work as the tiebreaker if they finish with the same mark. The Cavs have 22 wins on the road this season, marking their most road wins in a season since the 2015-16 season (24 wins on the road). Cleveland will return home for the final 3 games of the season (April 10 vs. MEM, April 12 vs. IND, April 14 vs. CHA). The Bucks are in the playoffs for the eighth straight season, which trails only Boston (10) for the longest such active streak in the league.
NBA pick: Cleveland
Daily Line NBA Men
Southeast Division
Orlando leads it currently and is the -150 favorite with Miami at +120. The Heat won the season series by taking three of four and thus would win any tiebreaker if they finish with the same record. The Magic are looking to win a division title for the first time since 2019. Orlando already has its most wins since the 2010-11 season when it finished 52-30. The Magic also have secured a winning percentage above .500 for the 15th time in franchise history. Miami is allowing just 108.4 points per game this season, the third-least in the NBA, and have now held opponents to under their season scoring averages in 17-straight games, including 29 of 30 overall, doing so by an average of -12.1 points per game over that span. The Heat got Tyler Herro back from injury over the weekend but it’s going to be too late to catch the Magic.
NBA pick: Orlando
Daily Line NBA Men
Northwest Division
Not only are Denver (-425 to win Northwest), Minnesota (+380) and Oklahoma City (+1200 competing for the division title but also the best record in the Western Conference. Denver hosts Minnesota in a crucial game Wednesday. Oklahoma City has one advantage starting Tuesday in that its final four games are at home, but three are against playoff teams in Sacramento, Milwaukee and Dallas. The Nuggets have now qualified for the playoffs in six straight seasons, the longest streak amongst all franchises in the Western Conference. The Wolves are hoping to get All-Star big man Karl-Anthony Towns back from a long injury absence this week so he can get into some game shape ahead of the playoffs. But that Minnesota has to visit Denver is the biggest advantage for Nikola Jokic & Co.
NBA pick: Denver
Daily Line NBA Men
Pacific Division
Looks like the Clippers (-10000) will win this with only Phoenix (+1800) having a realistic shot. The big question surrounding LA is the health of All-Star Kawhi Leonard. He has missed four straight with knee troubles and if Leonard isn’t healthy for the postseason, the Clippers aren’t making any noise. Kawhi is averaging 23.7 points, 6.1 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 1.6 steals per contest while shooting 52.5% from the field and 41.7% from the three-point range. The Clippers rank fourth in the NBA in 3P% (38.5), sixth in FG% (49.0), tied for sixth in steals (7.8) and seventh in plus/minus differential (3.3). The Suns have gotten hot at a good time as while they won’t win the division, as of now they would not be in the play-in tournament, either.
NBA pick: LA Clippers
Daily Line NBA Men
Southwest Division
Dallas is -5000 to win the Southwest and New Orleans +1800 and the Mavs are going to capture it unless they shut down Luka Doncic this week – which is not expected. New Orleans remains without arguably its second-best player in Brandon Ingram and is trying to avoid the play-in tournament. Ingram, who hasn’t played since March 21 due to a left knee contusion, will gradually increase the intensity of his rehab work, but a firm timetable hasn’t been set for him to resume playing. Ingram has already been ruled out for Tuesday’s contest at Portland, but nothing is definite beyond that. New Orleans will play Thursday at Sacramento and Friday at Golden State before ending the season at home against the Lakers on April 14.
NBA pick: Dallas
Daily Line NBA Men
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2022 Updated NBA Division Odds
There are only a few weeks remaining in the 2021-22 NBA regular season and while division titles don’t mean all that much these days – Adam Silver has talked about eliminating divisions altogether eventually, there are two legitimate races left: In the Atlantic and Northwest. Check back for the NBA odds.
NBA 2022 divisional odds
As of this writing Philadelphia and Boston are tied for first in the Atlantic, but the Celtics just lost starting center and NBA Defensive Player of the Year candidate Robert Williams perhaps for the season. That tips the scales to the 76ers in my mind. Toronto is 3.5 games back but isn’t making that amount of games up with so little time remaining.
One nice offshoot of the James Harden trade for the Sixers is that Matisse Thybulle — in the 14 games played with Harden — has significantly improved in nearly every single statistical category. He is averaging 7.2 points per game. That doesn’t sound like much but Thybulle has also broken double digits in 6 out of 14 games with Harden. In the 45 games this season without Harden, Thybulle is averaging only 5.5 points per game, dropping 13 or more points only once. Without Harden, Thybulle has only scored double-digit points 5 times.
However, in the 76ers’ last 10 games — of which Harden has played in nine — they are 6-4 with a pedestrian +0.3 net rating and an offense ranked 18th in the league over that stretch. The eye test backs that up, they have been good but not great. Philadelphia is not striking fear into the hearts of other contenders out of the East, as their offense still feels disjointed for stretches and the defense has clear places opponents can attack.
“We have to improve as a team on both ends,” Coach Doc Rivers said. “Our pace has to improve offensively, our spacing has to improve offensively, continuity has to improve offensively. Defensively, our transition is getting better actually — it could only go one way since we were 29th [in the league] — we’re rebounding a little bit better, but there are things we have to do better.”
Philadelphia is the -155 division favorite with Boston at +105. We like the Sixers.
In the Northwest, Utah is -350 with Denver at +240 and Minnesota at +2800, and the Jazz lead the Nuggets by a half-game with Minnesota 2.5 back.
Utah’s Donovan Mitchell is averaging 12.7 points per contest as the ball-handler in pick-and-roll play types, which is second-best in the NBA and he holds the highest effective field goal percentage (54.3) of the top five players in that category. Mitchell is only the fifth NBA player to total over 8,000 points, 1,500 assists and 1,400 rebounds through their first career 338 contests, joining LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Michael Jordan and Oscar Robertson.
Rudy Gobert is currently averaging 15.4 points on 71.2 percent from the field while grabbing 14.6 rebounds. He’s on pace to become the only player in NBA history to average 15 points and 14 boards while also shooting better than 70 percent from the field.
Utah and Denver are done playing in the regular season and the Jazz won all four so they claim any tiebreaker. Over his last seven games, rookie Bones Hyland is the Nuggets second leading scorer, averaging 16.4 points, 4.6 assists and 3.3 rebounds while shooting 51.9% from the field and 50.0% from three in 23.9 minutes. Bones has also surpassed Jamal Murray’s franchise record for most three-pointers in a rookie season and he leads the NBA with the most 4+ three-point games (12) this season among rookies.
Nuggets center Nikola Jokic still has a shot to catch Philly’s Joel Embiid to win MVP honors and repeat. In its latest straw poll of 100 media members, ESPN found 62 first-place votes and 860 overall points for Jokic, putting him ahead of Embiid, who had 29 first-place votes and 719 points, and the Bucks‘ Giannis Antetokounmpo with nine first-place votes and 593 points.
Jokic’s statistics are nearly identical to last season as he’s averaging 26.3 points and 8.0 assists to go with a career-high 13.6 rebounds per game. He has kept Denver in the playoff race despite injuries to Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, but his candidacy could suffer if the Nuggets fall into the play-in tournament.
Utah will win the Northwest.
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