Straight Up Stats
With Detroit finishing 9-8 after losing in the playoffs last season, they followed a rather familiar pattern of being around .500 over the past 3 seasons. Their SU record during that time was 27-23, although they were just 9-15 on the road during that run. Since this game is listed as a pick-em play, there is no clear favorite here. As an away favorite, Detroit were 2-3 in the past 3 seasons, while also going 7-12 as an away underdog. Last season’s .500 record was disappointing for a Colts team that has gone 29-22 SU over the past 3 seasons. They had a solid 15-10 home record during that stretch, which was broken down in the following way: they were 14-7 as a home favorite, and 1-3 as the home underdog. I think the edge would need to go to the Colts here based on these stats.Point Spread Stats
Again, with this game listed as a pick play, you are essentially looking at no spread to be covered, but let’s still take a look at how both these teams have performed in that regard over the past 3 seasons. Detroit made a habit of playing close games last season, going 8-9-0 ATS, which took their 3-year record to 23-27-0. The Lions went 10-14-0 ATS when playing on the road during this time period. Indianapolis went 7-8-1 ATS in the 2016 season, which took their 3-year record to 27-22-1. As you can see by these stats, they dropped off a little in the covering department last season. At home, the Colts went 13-11-1 ATS over the past 3 seasons, which is not entirely convincing for a team that was good for 2 of those 3 years.OVER/UNDER Stats
The O/U for this game is set at 37 points. The Lions found themselves in a lot of tight defensive struggles last season, so no real surprise that they went 6-11 in the O/U. This is consistent for Detroit, as they have gone 20-30 O/U in the past 3 seasons, including going 6-18-0 on the road, which was the worst record in the league if you like playing the OVER.
DETROIT LIONS TEAM STATISTICS
Offensive total yards 332.47 Current Offensive rush yards 79.94 Offensive passing yards 252.53 Average Score For 20.71 Defensive total yards 356.88 Current Defensive rush yards 110.71 Defensive passing yards 246.18 Average Score Against 22.59INDIANAPOLIS COLTS TEAM STATISTICS
Offensive total yards 364.44 Current Offensive rush yards 101.81 Offensive passing yards 262.62 Average Score For 25.69 Defensive total yards 382.88 Current Defensive rush yards 120.38 Defensive passing yards 262.50 Average Score Against 24.50NFL Preseason Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
I’m looking at this one being decided by a field goal, and I think it will be the Colts who come away with the win. The last two meetings between these teams have been of the high-scoring variety, so let’s stick with that trend and take the OVER.Detroit Lions 24 Indianapolis Colts 27
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