Raiders at Cardinals NFL Week 11 Lines & Expert Pick

In the NFL, there can be only one team that goes on to win it all. As we enter Week 11 of the season, it is becoming clear that there are a handful of teams in with a legitimate shot at winning the Super Bowl. At the opposite end of the spectrum, there is only one team that will finish with the worst record in the league and get first pick in next year’s draft. Every team that ends up being in contention for that rather inauspicious record will tell you that they are not trying to tank the season. In some cases, that would certainly appear to be true, but in the case of the Oakland Raiders, it is getting harder and harder to believe.

From Day 1 of John Gruden’s reign, they have consistently shipped out their best players and created an environment where the remaining veterans want out. If that is not the sign of a team tanking, I don’t know what is. The Raiders will be on the road to face fellow strugglers, the Arizona Cardinals this weekend, heading into the desert as a 3-point underdog. The point total for this one is set at 40 ½.

Raiders at Cardinals NFL Week 11 Lines & Expert Pick

“One of the most mentally tough kids you will find.”
Coach Gruden has high praise for @kolton_miller: https://t.co/kfV5VyAivm #RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/c67E7n4ZuB — Oakland Raiders (@Raiders) 13 de noviembre de 2018

When: Sunday, November 18 at 4:05 PM EST
Where: State farm Stadium, Glendale
TV: CBS
Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
NFL Week 11 Lines: Arizona Cardinals -5 (Total 40.5)

Weather Forecast

Clear: 21°C/70°F
Humidity: 15%
Precipitation: 0%
Cloud Cover: 21%
Wind: 4 mph WSW
Stadium Type: Retractable

Why bet on the Oakland Raiders?

The Raiders are a total mess at this point, and while coach Gruden claims that he is out to build a championship team, it looks to be a job that is going to take some doing. Oakland is just 1-8 SU on the season, with that lone win coming against the Cleveland Browns, which is not what you would call a statement victory. They are coming into this one on a 5-game losing skid and have failed to reach double-digits in 3 of those games.

They have also failed to cover the spread in all 5 of those games, and in the one where they started as a favorite, they ended up losing 34-3 to the San Francisco 49ers. The Raiders have managed to cover in 4 of their last 6 visits to Arizona, but their more recent record is less glowing, as they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games overall.

Team Stats

Offense

Average Score For: 16.33
Total Yards: 349.67
Rush Yards: 97.11
Passing Yards: 252.56

Defense

Average Score Against: 30.22
Total Yards: 399.11
Rush Yards: 141.00
Passing Yards: 258.11

Why bet on the Arizona Cardinals?

Arizona is not faring much better than the Raiders this season, coming in at 2-7, but they at least have been a little more competitive. Over their last 7 games, Arizona has been a solid ATS bet, going 5-1-1 during that run. The 2 wins that they have managed to put on the board this season have come against the 49ers, which makes you wonder if they are going to be able to beat anyone else this season.

Raiders at Cardinals is the worst game of NFL Week 11.

The problem for the Cardinals is that they simply cannot generate any offense this season. They are averaging a little over 13 PPG through their first 9 games, which is no real surprise given that they are averaging just 236 yards of offense per game.

Team Stats

Offense

Average Score For: 13.78
Total Yards: 236.34
Rush Yards: 70.56
Passing Yards: 165.78

Defense

Average Score Against: 25.00
Total Yards: 363.55
Rush Yards: 140.33
Passing Yards: 223.22

Raiders at Cardinals NFL Week 11 Betting Trends

Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Oakland’s last 16 games
Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona’s last 13 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Raiders at Cardinals

While these two teams have had trouble finding their way to the end zone this season, I have a feeling that this one is going to creep over the point total. I like the Cardinals to win and cover at home.

Score: Oakland Raiders 14 – Arizona Cardinals 27