MyBookie is back with another free Tennis Betting preview for the 2022 BMW Open, with all the information you’ll ever need to place smart bets on the ATP Betting Odds. So without further ado, here is our betting preview of the upcoming tennis tournament.
Tennis Preview for the BMW Open By American Express Event | ATP Betting Analysis
The BMW Open By American Express will feature two of the world’s top-10 players, and to be honest, it wouldn’t be surprising to see either of the two competing for the title.
Most notably, the BMW Open By American Express will welcome the home crowd favorite, Alex Zverev, who is the top-seeded player of the tournament and a two-time champion.
Besides being the top-seeded player, Zverev had also looked good in Monte Carlo, where he defeated Federico Delbonis, Pablo Carreno Busta, and Jannik Sinner. But eventually, he had to admit defeat to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the semis.
Luckily for him, the BMW Open won’t feature a single player that you could consider to be of Tsitsipas’ quality. And the closest player who comes to that is Casper Ruud.
The Norwegian tennis star heads to Germany following a fairly disappointing run on the European clay. He crashed out of Monte Carlo very early, and he bowed out in the final eight in Barcelona.
However, he has improved in Spain, where he nearly won against Carreno Busta, but even though he held three match points in the second set, Ruud lost the decider. Does his recent form suggest Ruud will struggle?
Not necessarily, but it would be interesting to see how he does against Zverev if the two happen to meet. The German is 2-1 up in H2H; however, the two have yet to meet on clay. So there is a reason to believe Ruud might be able to pull off an upset, making him an exciting outright pick at +300.
At the same time, you can argue that there isn’t much value in backing either of the two. Ruud has not been in the best form, whereas Zverev has had a few iffy showings of late, including in his last two trips to Munich, when he lost against Ilya Ivashka and Cristian Garin.
Since we’re not too excited about backing either of the two top dogs, we have to look for alternatives, where we find Miomir Kecmanovic, who comes off as an excellent outsider pick to win the BMW Open.
He has been enjoying a solid season and seems to be in good form. Last week he made his fifth QF of 2022, only losing a final set against the current world no.1, Novak Djokovic, in Serbia. He followed that up with a top-8 finish in Santiago and Rio during the South American Golden Swing, and he performed relatively well in Miami and Indian Wells.
We must also note that Kecmanovic’s only ATP title came in Kitzbuhel, located near Munich, and is at a similar altitude level, which is just another reason you should keep an eye out on the Serb.
One thing that could concern you is that Kecmanovic is seeded in the bottom half of the draw, alongside former BWM Open champions Philipp Kohlschreiber and Nikoloz Basilashvili, and Ruud. Still, at +1200, Kecmanovic is an excellent pick and a solid longshot bet to win the MWP Open.