With the 2019 AT&T Bryon Nelson teeing off Thursday live from Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas, now is a perfect time to take a look at the golf odds to win this weekend’s PGA Tour event. Better yet, you’re going to get some expert golf betting analysis and an inside look at my top five picks to bring home the bacon at this year’s Byron Nelson showdown. Over 150 players are in the field this weekend on the difficult par-72 course which features a mind-boggling 552-yard, par-5 first hole followed by a lengthy 241-yard par-3. This weekend’s field features several major champions like prohibitive Brooks Koepka, Jordan Spieth and Patrick Reed.
With this event serving as a great warm-up for next week’s second major of the year, the U.S. Open, and the winner of this event almost certainly qualifying for the PGA Championship as well, let’s find out which golfers are looking good heading into this fun-filled event. Koepka is the prohibitive favorite at 7-1, followed closely by Hideki Matsuyama at 13-1 and Spieth at 15-1.
2019 AT&T Byron Nelson Odds, Predictions & Picks
- When: May 9-12
- Where: Trinity Forest — Dallas, Texas
- TV: Golf Channel
- Live Stream: Golf.tv
Past Winners
- 2018: Aaron Wise
- 2017: Billy Horschel
- 2016: Sergio Garcia
- 2015: Steven Bowditch
- 2014: Brendon Todd
A year ago, Aaron Wise finished 23 under par to beat out Marc Leishman by three strokes. Prior to that, Billy Horschel won in a playoff over Jason Day and in 2016, Sergio Garcia won in a playoff against Brooks Koepka.
Odds to Win the 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson
- Brooks Koepka 7-1
- Hideki Matsuyama 13-1
- Jordan Spieth 15-1
- Aaron Wise 21-1
- Henrik Stenson 24-1
- Patrick Reed 28-1
- Marc Leishman 29-1
- Branden Grace 31-1
- Keith Mitchell 32-1
- Sungjae Im 36-1
- Kevin Na 48-1
- Lucas Bjerregaard 48-1
- Rory Sabbatini 48-1
- Ryan Moore 48-1
- Thomas Pieters 48-1
- Thorbjorn Olesen 48-1
- Charles Howell III 50-1
- Abraham Ancer 55-1
- Brandt Snedeker 55-1
- C.T. Pan 55-1
- Rafa Cabrera Bello 55-1
My Top Five Picks To Win 2019 Byron Nelson
No. 5 Rory Sabbatini
43-year-old South African Rory Sabbatini won this event in 2009 and finished T-13 here last year. More importantly, Sabbatini has recorded three straight Top 20 finishes by finishing T10 at the RBC Heritage in April, T3 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans a week later and T18 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend. I love Sabbatini’s long shot value as a whopping 48-1 pick here.
No. 4 Hideki Matsuyama
I know Japanese superstar Hideki Matsuyama hasn’t won a PGA Tour event since bagging the 2017 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational title in August of 2017, but the
27-year-old is still seriously gifted golfer and one that reached No. 2 in the world in 2017. Now, ranked 43rd in the world, Matsuyama has been playing some rock-solid golf for a while now, even if it hasn’t resulted in him ending up in the winner’s circle. Matsuyama hasn’t missed a cut since last year’s Open and has recorded a quartet of Top 10 finishes over his last eight outings including a T3 at the Farmers Insurance Open in January.
No. 3 Marc Leishman
Leishman finished as the runner-up in this event a year ago, but that’s not the only reason I believe he will contend again this year. No…I believe the World No. 13 is a bit semi-desperate after finishing T62, T23, MC, T9, T49 and T58 in his last six events after starting off the 2018-19 season with a quartet of Top 5 finishes in his fist five tournaments of the new season. Leishman ranks 12t in eagles per hole, 31st in birdie average (4.21) and 35th in scoring average (70.6). I love the value he’s offering as a value-packed 29-1 pick.
No. 2 Aaron Wise
Not only is Aaron Wise the defending champion here, but he also set a tournament record in the process by shooting a blistering -23 to beat out Leishman by three strokes. More impressive is the fact that the then, 21-year-old rookie pulled away from the veteran at the turn after a four-hour rain delay at the new Trinity Forest course by shooting a 65 in Sunday’s final round.
“It’s everything I’ve dreamed of,” Wise said a year ago. “I felt like when it rained today I was really going to tear the course up just because it allowed me to hit driver, which is my strength. I got a lot of short irons in my hand and was able to make a lot birdies.”
Now, heading into this year’s event I like Wise as my No. 2 pick seeing as how he finished an encouraging 17th at the Masters and T18 at last weekend’s Wells Fargo Championship. Wise shot four straight rounds in the 60s a year ago and that alone means he’s going to have a great shot to defend his title here even though the legendary Tom Watson was the last repeat winner when he took three straight from 1978-1980.
No. 1 Brooks Koepka
Koepka, the World No. 8, comes into this year’s Byron Nelson looking damn good after finishing second at the Masters and T22 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans a couple of weeks ago. The 29-year-old Floridian finished as the runner-up here in 2016 and as a three-time major winner, including consecutive U.S. Open titles, I suspect that Koepka is looking for a great performance here as he prepares to bag his third straight U.S. Open. Koepka is undeniably the most talented player in the field and that means he’ll have a great chance to win this event outright.
